Skip to main content
icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 94.0%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 3.5%

Mourinho: Season 1 3.0%

Tires: Season 3 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3 94.0%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 3.5%

Mourinho: Season 1 3.0%

Tires: Season 3 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3

$2,813 Vol.

94%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$69 Vol.

4%

icon for Mourinho: Season 1

Mourinho: Season 1

$55 Vol.

3%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$74 Vol.

3%

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$141 Vol.

2%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$92 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 commands a 94.1% market-implied probability for topping global Netflix charts this week because its August 6 premiere generated 71 million viewing hours and 9 million views in the first tracked period, building on the series’ established YA romance audience and strong social momentum. Trader consensus reflects the show’s proven track record of rapid chart dominance and sustained engagement in the genre. An upset could occur if a late-week surge from a competing new release like The Last House or a true-crime title dramatically shifts viewing hours before the weekly window closes, or if official Netflix metrics reveal steeper-than-expected decay in subsequent days.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,244
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".My Life With the Walter Boys Season 3 commands a 94.1% market-implied probability for topping global Netflix charts this week because its August 6 premiere generated 71 million viewing hours and 9 million views in the first tracked period, building on the series’ established YA romance audience and strong social momentum. Trader consensus reflects the show’s proven track record of rapid chart dominance and sustained engagement in the genre. An upset could occur if a late-week surge from a competing new release like The Last House or a true-crime title dramatically shifts viewing hours before the weekly window closes, or if official Netflix metrics reveal steeper-than-expected decay in subsequent days.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,244
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

icon for Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

94%
icon for Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

95%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 9 million views this week?

88%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 94%, followed by "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.