Don't Say Good Luck leads with a 77% implied probability as the likely #2 global Netflix title this week, fueled by its August 14 premiere as a Sunny Sandler-led coming-of-age dramedy centered on high school musical ambitions and family drama. The fresh original release typically generates strong opening-week viewership on the platform, outpacing older catalog titles like Spider-Man: Far from Home or Minions and recent entries such as The Last House or 72 Hours, which sit at much lower odds. Traders appear to weigh the new film's promotional push and audience interest against competition from established hits, with the 50% outcomes reflecting uncertainty around final rankings once full weekly metrics drop. Upcoming chart updates will clarify whether debut momentum holds or shifts the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Don't Say Good Luck 77%
72 Hours 14.1%
The Last House 4.0%
Spider-Man: Far from Home 2.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
77%

72 Hours
14%

The Last House
4%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
2%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

Minions
1%
Don't Say Good Luck 77%
72 Hours 14.1%
The Last House 4.0%
Spider-Man: Far from Home 2.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
77%

72 Hours
14%

The Last House
4%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
2%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

Minions
1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Don't Say Good Luck leads with a 77% implied probability as the likely #2 global Netflix title this week, fueled by its August 14 premiere as a Sunny Sandler-led coming-of-age dramedy centered on high school musical ambitions and family drama. The fresh original release typically generates strong opening-week viewership on the platform, outpacing older catalog titles like Spider-Man: Far from Home or Minions and recent entries such as The Last House or 72 Hours, which sit at much lower odds. Traders appear to weigh the new film's promotional push and audience interest against competition from established hits, with the 50% outcomes reflecting uncertainty around final rankings once full weekly metrics drop. Upcoming chart updates will clarify whether debut momentum holds or shifts the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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