Delcy Rodríguez holds an overwhelming market lead as Venezuela’s acting president because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 raid, after which the Supreme Court installed her as interim leader on January 5. She has since consolidated control through repeated cabinet reshuffles, replacement of senior military commanders, and alignment with Washington on oil production, sanctions relief, and prisoner releases. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or without institutional access, while Maduro faces U.S. trial proceedings set for 2027. No scheduled elections or constitutional succession events fall inside the 2026 resolution window, leaving Rodríguez’s position as the dominant continuity outcome in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.5%
Dinorah Figuera 1.9%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,913 Vol.
$367,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
4%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Nicolás Maduro
1%
Edmundo González
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 3.5%
Dinorah Figuera 1.9%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,913 Vol.
$367,913 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,357 Vol.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,358 Vol.
4%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,960 Vol.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 Vol.
1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds an overwhelming market lead as Venezuela’s acting president because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 raid, after which the Supreme Court installed her as interim leader on January 5. She has since consolidated control through repeated cabinet reshuffles, replacement of senior military commanders, and alignment with Washington on oil production, sanctions relief, and prisoner releases. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or without institutional access, while Maduro faces U.S. trial proceedings set for 2027. No scheduled elections or constitutional succession events fall inside the 2026 resolution window, leaving Rodríguez’s position as the dominant continuity outcome in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$367,913End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds an overwhelming market lead as Venezuela’s acting president because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 raid, after which the Supreme Court installed her as interim leader on January 5. She has since consolidated control through repeated cabinet reshuffles, replacement of senior military commanders, and alignment with Washington on oil production, sanctions relief, and prisoner releases. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or without institutional access, while Maduro faces U.S. trial proceedings set for 2027. No scheduled elections or constitutional succession events fall inside the 2026 resolution window, leaving Rodríguez’s position as the dominant continuity outcome in trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$367,913End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds an overwhelming market lead as Venezuela’s acting president because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 raid, after which the Supreme Court installed her as interim leader on January 5. She has since consolidated control through repeated cabinet reshuffles, replacement of senior military commanders, and alignment with Washington on oil production, sanctions relief, and prisoner releases. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González remain sidelined in exile or without institutional access, while Maduro faces U.S. trial proceedings set for 2027. No scheduled elections or constitutional succession events fall inside the 2026 resolution window, leaving Rodríguez’s position as the dominant continuity outcome in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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