**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July 2026, the highest debut ever, fueled by unprecedented trailer views, $74.5 million in previews, and strong presales. Through its second weekend it added another $144 million, pushing the domestic total past $700 million by mid-August while maintaining top-chart position. With robust audience engagement and minimal competition through the end of the month, trader consensus heavily favors an 800–900 million finish (65% implied probability), with meaningful support for crossing 900 million (36.5%). Lower brackets sit near zero as the film’s early momentum and hold patterns make sub-800 million outcomes highly unlikely before August 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 65%
900m+ 36.8%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$991,916 Vol.
$991,916 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
65%
900m+
37%
800 - 900m 65%
900m+ 36.8%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$991,916 Vol.
$991,916 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$16,564 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$31,359 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$27,178 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$41,949 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$82,101 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$186,789 Vol.
65%
900m+
$605,975 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July 2026, the highest debut ever, fueled by unprecedented trailer views, $74.5 million in previews, and strong presales. Through its second weekend it added another $144 million, pushing the domestic total past $700 million by mid-August while maintaining top-chart position. With robust audience engagement and minimal competition through the end of the month, trader consensus heavily favors an 800–900 million finish (65% implied probability), with meaningful support for crossing 900 million (36.5%). Lower brackets sit near zero as the film’s early momentum and hold patterns make sub-800 million outcomes highly unlikely before August 31.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$991,916End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July 2026, the highest debut ever, fueled by unprecedented trailer views, $74.5 million in previews, and strong presales. Through its second weekend it added another $144 million, pushing the domestic total past $700 million by mid-August while maintaining top-chart position. With robust audience engagement and minimal competition through the end of the month, trader consensus heavily favors an 800–900 million finish (65% implied probability), with meaningful support for crossing 900 million (36.5%). Lower brackets sit near zero as the film’s early momentum and hold patterns make sub-800 million outcomes highly unlikely before August 31.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$991,916End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestically in late July 2026, the highest debut ever, fueled by unprecedented trailer views, $74.5 million in previews, and strong presales. Through its second weekend it added another $144 million, pushing the domestic total past $700 million by mid-August while maintaining top-chart position. With robust audience engagement and minimal competition through the end of the month, trader consensus heavily favors an 800–900 million finish (65% implied probability), with meaningful support for crossing 900 million (36.5%). Lower brackets sit near zero as the film’s early momentum and hold patterns make sub-800 million outcomes highly unlikely before August 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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