Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s long tenure and the South Carolina 6th district’s partisan voting index of D+13 anchor trader consensus near 94 percent for a Democratic win. The seat covers the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, where Clyburn secured 59.5 percent in 2024 and won renomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in this solidly Democratic constituency. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require a late health event for the incumbent, major scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$29,732 Vol.
$29,732 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,732 Vol.
$29,732 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,548 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$16,184 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s long tenure and the South Carolina 6th district’s partisan voting index of D+13 anchor trader consensus near 94 percent for a Democratic win. The seat covers the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, where Clyburn secured 59.5 percent in 2024 and won renomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in this solidly Democratic constituency. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require a late health event for the incumbent, major scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$29,732End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s long tenure and the South Carolina 6th district’s partisan voting index of D+13 anchor trader consensus near 94 percent for a Democratic win. The seat covers the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, where Clyburn secured 59.5 percent in 2024 and won renomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in this solidly Democratic constituency. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require a late health event for the incumbent, major scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,732End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Clyburn’s long tenure and the South Carolina 6th district’s partisan voting index of D+13 anchor trader consensus near 94 percent for a Democratic win. The seat covers the Black Belt region including Columbia and North Charleston, where Clyburn secured 59.5 percent in 2024 and won renomination in June 2026 with over 90 percent of the primary vote against a minor challenger. Republican nominee John Peterson emerged from his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in this solidly Democratic constituency. Potential shifts remain narrow and would require a late health event for the incumbent, major scandal, or an unprecedented national Republican surge before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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