Recent polling trends keep the contest for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested among New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People has shown gains in several telephone surveys, reaching around 11-13 percent and edging ahead of LDPR and KPRF in some readings, while face-to-face polls place the three parties in a narrower 8-14 percent band. All three systemic opposition parties completed candidate registration in July with minimal barriers, though CPRF and LDPR face ongoing regional administrative pressures. Voter sentiment appears fluid as parties finalize lists and target overlapping bases ahead of the vote, leaving room for late shifts from campaign momentum or turnout patterns to reorder their finish.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 21%
Yabloko 1.1%
$54,691 Vol.
$54,691 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
21%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
34%
New People (NL)
42%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 21%
Yabloko 1.1%
$54,691 Vol.
$54,691 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,480 Vol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$8,562 Vol.
21%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$2,699 Vol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,029 Vol.
34%
New People (NL)
$9,469 Vol.
42%
Rodina
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$9,109 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends keep the contest for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested among New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People has shown gains in several telephone surveys, reaching around 11-13 percent and edging ahead of LDPR and KPRF in some readings, while face-to-face polls place the three parties in a narrower 8-14 percent band. All three systemic opposition parties completed candidate registration in July with minimal barriers, though CPRF and LDPR face ongoing regional administrative pressures. Voter sentiment appears fluid as parties finalize lists and target overlapping bases ahead of the vote, leaving room for late shifts from campaign momentum or turnout patterns to reorder their finish.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volume
$54,691End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling trends keep the contest for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested among New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People has shown gains in several telephone surveys, reaching around 11-13 percent and edging ahead of LDPR and KPRF in some readings, while face-to-face polls place the three parties in a narrower 8-14 percent band. All three systemic opposition parties completed candidate registration in July with minimal barriers, though CPRF and LDPR face ongoing regional administrative pressures. Voter sentiment appears fluid as parties finalize lists and target overlapping bases ahead of the vote, leaving room for late shifts from campaign momentum or turnout patterns to reorder their finish.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$54,691End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends keep the contest for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested among New People, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation. New People has shown gains in several telephone surveys, reaching around 11-13 percent and edging ahead of LDPR and KPRF in some readings, while face-to-face polls place the three parties in a narrower 8-14 percent band. All three systemic opposition parties completed candidate registration in July with minimal barriers, though CPRF and LDPR face ongoing regional administrative pressures. Voter sentiment appears fluid as parties finalize lists and target overlapping bases ahead of the vote, leaving room for late shifts from campaign momentum or turnout patterns to reorder their finish.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
70%
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Frequently Asked Questions