The 2026 NFL Week 1 interceptions leader market remains tightly bunched because a single slate of games produces high variance in turnover rates, with no quarterback entering as a clear statistical outlier. Recent training camp and preseason reports highlighted elevated pick totals from several signal-callers, including Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland plus rookie Fernando Mendoza with the Raiders, yet those trends have not translated into consensus edges for any individual. Matchups across the four-day schedule—featuring new offensive coordinators, adjusted protections, and defensive schemes—further dilute predictability, while depth-chart uncertainty around backups and situational packages keeps a broad field in play. Trader pricing reflects this diffusion of risk across dozens of active passers rather than concentration on historical volume leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDrake Maye 50%
Tommy DeVito 50%
Geno Smith 50%
Cade Klubnik 50%
Drake Maye
50%
Tommy DeVito
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Cade Klubnik
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Kyle Allen
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Kyle McCord
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
Mason Rudolph
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Davis Mills
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Quinn Ewers
50%
Cam Ward
50%
Mitchell Trubisky
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Jarrett Stidham
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Justin Fields
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Trey Lance
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Sam Howell
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Andy Dalton
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Jameis Winston
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Joshua Dobbs
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Tyrod Taylor
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jalon Daniels
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Gardner Minshew II
50%
Stetson Bennett IV
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Drew Lock
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Tyler Huntley
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Joe Flacco
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Marcus Mariota
50%
Tyson Bagent
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Tua Tagovailoa
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Kenny Pickett
50%
Spencer Rattler
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Mac Jones
50%
Drake Maye 50%
Tommy DeVito 50%
Geno Smith 50%
Cade Klubnik 50%
Drake Maye
50%
Tommy DeVito
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Cade Klubnik
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Josh Allen
50%
Kyle Allen
50%
Malik Willis
50%
Kyle McCord
50%
Deshaun Watson
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Aaron Rodgers
50%
Mason Rudolph
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Davis Mills
50%
Daniel Jones
50%
Anthony Richardson Sr.
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
Quinn Ewers
50%
Cam Ward
50%
Mitchell Trubisky
50%
Bo Nix
50%
Jarrett Stidham
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Justin Fields
50%
Fernando Mendoza
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Trey Lance
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Sam Howell
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Andy Dalton
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Jameis Winston
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Joshua Dobbs
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Tyrod Taylor
50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jalon Daniels
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Gardner Minshew II
50%
Stetson Bennett IV
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Drew Lock
50%
Lamar Jackson
50%
Tyler Huntley
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Joe Flacco
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Marcus Mariota
50%
Tyson Bagent
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
J.J. McCarthy
50%
Tua Tagovailoa
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Kenny Pickett
50%
Spencer Rattler
50%
Baker Mayfield
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Mac Jones
50%
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with a higher interception percentage (interceptions thrown divided by pass attempts) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with fewer passing touchdowns in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in interceptions thrown within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL Week 1 interceptions leader market remains tightly bunched because a single slate of games produces high variance in turnover rates, with no quarterback entering as a clear statistical outlier. Recent training camp and preseason reports highlighted elevated pick totals from several signal-callers, including Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders in Cleveland plus rookie Fernando Mendoza with the Raiders, yet those trends have not translated into consensus edges for any individual. Matchups across the four-day schedule—featuring new offensive coordinators, adjusted protections, and defensive schemes—further dilute predictability, while depth-chart uncertainty around backups and situational packages keeps a broad field in play. Trader pricing reflects this diffusion of risk across dozens of active passers rather than concentration on historical volume leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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