The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open field for the worst regular-season record, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44–50% for more than two dozen teams. Early uncertainty stems from roster turnover after the draft and free agency, new coaching schemes still being installed, and questions around quarterback stability for clubs like the Falcons, Patriots, Jets, and Giants. Strength of schedule, injury depth charts, and divisional competition add further variance, while recent preseason results have not produced decisive separation. Traders price the outcome as highly competitive because multiple teams share comparable projected win totals near the bottom of the league, with any single injury or early skid capable of shifting momentum before the schedule settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew York Giants 50%
Philadelphia Eagles 50%
Washington Commanders 50%
Chicago Bears 50%
New York Giants
50%
Philadelphia Eagles
50%
Washington Commanders
50%
Chicago Bears
50%
Detroit Lions
50%
Green Bay Packers
50%
Minnesota Vikings
50%
Atlanta Falcons
50%
Carolina Panthers
50%
New Orleans Saints
50%
Arizona Cardinals
50%
Los Angeles Rams
50%
Seattle Seahawks
50%
Other
50%
Buffalo Bills
50%
New England Patriots
50%
New York Jets
50%
Baltimore Ravens
50%
Cincinnati Bengals
50%
Houston Texans
50%
Indianapolis Colts
50%
Jacksonville Jaguars
50%
Tennessee Titans
50%
Kansas City Chiefs
50%
Las Vegas Raiders
50%
Dallas Cowboys
50%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48%
San Francisco 49ers
48%
Pittsburgh Steelers
48%
Denver Broncos
48%
Los Angeles Chargers
46%
Miami Dolphins
45%
Cleveland Browns
45%
New York Giants 50%
Philadelphia Eagles 50%
Washington Commanders 50%
Chicago Bears 50%
New York Giants
50%
Philadelphia Eagles
50%
Washington Commanders
50%
Chicago Bears
50%
Detroit Lions
50%
Green Bay Packers
50%
Minnesota Vikings
50%
Atlanta Falcons
50%
Carolina Panthers
50%
New Orleans Saints
50%
Arizona Cardinals
50%
Los Angeles Rams
50%
Seattle Seahawks
50%
Other
50%
Buffalo Bills
50%
New England Patriots
50%
New York Jets
50%
Baltimore Ravens
50%
Cincinnati Bengals
50%
Houston Texans
50%
Indianapolis Colts
50%
Jacksonville Jaguars
50%
Tennessee Titans
50%
Kansas City Chiefs
50%
Las Vegas Raiders
50%
Dallas Cowboys
50%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
48%
San Francisco 49ers
48%
Pittsburgh Steelers
48%
Denver Broncos
48%
Los Angeles Chargers
46%
Miami Dolphins
45%
Cleveland Browns
45%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the worst regular season record, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If two or more teams finish tied for the worst regular season record, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team that is assigned the earliest selection position in the 2027 NFL Draft under the NFL's draft order tie-breaking procedures (strength of schedule, then the applicable divisional or conference tiebreakers), before accounting for any traded or forfeited selections.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the final regular season standings have not been officially determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the worst regular season record, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If two or more teams finish tied for the worst regular season record, this market will resolve in favor of the tied team that is assigned the earliest selection position in the 2027 NFL Draft under the NFL's draft order tie-breaking procedures (strength of schedule, then the applicable divisional or conference tiebreakers), before accounting for any traded or forfeited selections.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the final regular season standings have not been officially determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open field for the worst regular-season record, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44–50% for more than two dozen teams. Early uncertainty stems from roster turnover after the draft and free agency, new coaching schemes still being installed, and questions around quarterback stability for clubs like the Falcons, Patriots, Jets, and Giants. Strength of schedule, injury depth charts, and divisional competition add further variance, while recent preseason results have not produced decisive separation. Traders price the outcome as highly competitive because multiple teams share comparable projected win totals near the bottom of the league, with any single injury or early skid capable of shifting momentum before the schedule settles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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