Incumbent Katharina Pötter (CDU) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the September 13, 2026 Osnabrück mayoral election, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and party organization in a direct German local vote. Robert Alferink (SPD) follows as the primary challenger after his 2025 nomination, supported by opposition party structures, while Volker Bajus (Greens) and lower-probability candidates such as Thomas Groß (Left) factor into the fragmented field. The tight spread stems from competitive local dynamics typical of German municipal races, where first-round results often trigger runoffs and turnout or coalition signals can shift outcomes. No major recent developments have altered positioning since candidate confirmations, leaving room for polling trends, campaign events, or voter mobilization to create separation ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKatharina Pötter 51%
Robert Alferink 28%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thomas Groß <1%
$41,633 Vol.
$41,633 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
51%
Robert Alferink
38%
Volker Bajus
9%
Thomas Groß
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
<1%
Oliver Hasskamp
<1%
Katharina Pötter 51%
Robert Alferink 28%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thomas Groß <1%
$41,633 Vol.
$41,633 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$32,764 Vol.
51%
Robert Alferink
$7,084 Vol.
38%
Volker Bajus
$692 Vol.
9%
Thomas Groß
$279 Vol.
1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$404 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Hasskamp
$410 Vol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter (CDU) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the September 13, 2026 Osnabrück mayoral election, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and party organization in a direct German local vote. Robert Alferink (SPD) follows as the primary challenger after his 2025 nomination, supported by opposition party structures, while Volker Bajus (Greens) and lower-probability candidates such as Thomas Groß (Left) factor into the fragmented field. The tight spread stems from competitive local dynamics typical of German municipal races, where first-round results often trigger runoffs and turnout or coalition signals can shift outcomes. No major recent developments have altered positioning since candidate confirmations, leaving room for polling trends, campaign events, or voter mobilization to create separation ahead of election day.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$41,633End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter (CDU) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the September 13, 2026 Osnabrück mayoral election, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and party organization in a direct German local vote. Robert Alferink (SPD) follows as the primary challenger after his 2025 nomination, supported by opposition party structures, while Volker Bajus (Greens) and lower-probability candidates such as Thomas Groß (Left) factor into the fragmented field. The tight spread stems from competitive local dynamics typical of German municipal races, where first-round results often trigger runoffs and turnout or coalition signals can shift outcomes. No major recent developments have altered positioning since candidate confirmations, leaving room for polling trends, campaign events, or voter mobilization to create separation ahead of election day.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$41,633End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Katharina Pötter (CDU) holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the September 13, 2026 Osnabrück mayoral election, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, established name recognition, and party organization in a direct German local vote. Robert Alferink (SPD) follows as the primary challenger after his 2025 nomination, supported by opposition party structures, while Volker Bajus (Greens) and lower-probability candidates such as Thomas Groß (Left) factor into the fragmented field. The tight spread stems from competitive local dynamics typical of German municipal races, where first-round results often trigger runoffs and turnout or coalition signals can shift outcomes. No major recent developments have altered positioning since candidate confirmations, leaving room for polling trends, campaign events, or voter mobilization to create separation ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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