Ulf Prange (SPD) holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 52.5% over Jascha Rohr at 35.5% in the September 13, 2026, Oldenburg mayoral election, with all other candidates below 4%. The race remains tight because Rohr secured cross-party backing from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU as an independent, creating a broad but divided coalition against the SPD’s established local organization following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term. Recent candidate nominations and the official list of nine contenders have reinforced this two-person dynamic without major polling shifts or campaign events yet altering probabilities. Upcoming debates, local endorsements, or voter turnout patterns in key districts could widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUlf Prange 53%
Jascha Rohr 33%
Byanca Küßner 3.8%
Ralf Butzin 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
53%
Jascha Rohr
36%
Byanca Küßner
4%
Ralf Butzin
4%
Michael Stille
<1%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Ulf Prange 53%
Jascha Rohr 33%
Byanca Küßner 3.8%
Ralf Butzin 3.7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$1,151 Vol.
53%
Jascha Rohr
$1,252 Vol.
36%
Byanca Küßner
$356 Vol.
4%
Ralf Butzin
$396 Vol.
4%
Michael Stille
$528 Vol.
<1%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$478 Vol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$458 Vol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$414 Vol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$447 Vol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange (SPD) holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 52.5% over Jascha Rohr at 35.5% in the September 13, 2026, Oldenburg mayoral election, with all other candidates below 4%. The race remains tight because Rohr secured cross-party backing from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU as an independent, creating a broad but divided coalition against the SPD’s established local organization following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term. Recent candidate nominations and the official list of nine contenders have reinforced this two-person dynamic without major polling shifts or campaign events yet altering probabilities. Upcoming debates, local endorsements, or voter turnout patterns in key districts could widen the gap before election day.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Volume
$5,482End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange (SPD) holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 52.5% over Jascha Rohr at 35.5% in the September 13, 2026, Oldenburg mayoral election, with all other candidates below 4%. The race remains tight because Rohr secured cross-party backing from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU as an independent, creating a broad but divided coalition against the SPD’s established local organization following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term. Recent candidate nominations and the official list of nine contenders have reinforced this two-person dynamic without major polling shifts or campaign events yet altering probabilities. Upcoming debates, local endorsements, or voter turnout patterns in key districts could widen the gap before election day.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$5,482End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange (SPD) holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 52.5% over Jascha Rohr at 35.5% in the September 13, 2026, Oldenburg mayoral election, with all other candidates below 4%. The race remains tight because Rohr secured cross-party backing from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and the CDU as an independent, creating a broad but divided coalition against the SPD’s established local organization following incumbent Jürgen Krogmann’s decision not to seek a third term. Recent candidate nominations and the official list of nine contenders have reinforced this two-person dynamic without major polling shifts or campaign events yet altering probabilities. Upcoming debates, local endorsements, or voter turnout patterns in key districts could widen the gap before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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