Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election, reflecting his established record as a two-term independent governor backed by opposition parties and his consistent stance against relocating U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko. Genta Koja, the main LDP-backed challenger and former Naha deputy mayor, trails significantly as the primary alternative in what has narrowed to an effective two-candidate contest. Recent developments include Tamaki’s April 2026 re-election announcement and reported wavering support tied to post-February national election shifts, while August reporting notes neither contender has secured a decisive edge one month out. Lower-probability options such as Mikio Shimoji and others reflect limited momentum amid the dominant Tamaki-Koja dynamic and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDenny Tamaki 71%
Genta Koja 22%
Mikio Shimoji 5.1%
Shun Kaneshima 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
71%
Genta Koja
22%
Mikio Shimoji
5%
Shun Kaneshima
5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi
1%
Chosuke Yara
1%
Takashi Higa
1%
Denny Tamaki 71%
Genta Koja 22%
Mikio Shimoji 5.1%
Shun Kaneshima 5.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
$428 Vol.
71%
Genta Koja
$158 Vol.
22%
Mikio Shimoji
$179 Vol.
5%
Shun Kaneshima
$116 Vol.
5%
Masahiro Sueyoshi
$125 Vol.
1%
Chosuke Yara
$119 Vol.
1%
Takashi Higa
$140 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election, reflecting his established record as a two-term independent governor backed by opposition parties and his consistent stance against relocating U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko. Genta Koja, the main LDP-backed challenger and former Naha deputy mayor, trails significantly as the primary alternative in what has narrowed to an effective two-candidate contest. Recent developments include Tamaki’s April 2026 re-election announcement and reported wavering support tied to post-February national election shifts, while August reporting notes neither contender has secured a decisive edge one month out. Lower-probability options such as Mikio Shimoji and others reflect limited momentum amid the dominant Tamaki-Koja dynamic and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volume
$1,265End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election, reflecting his established record as a two-term independent governor backed by opposition parties and his consistent stance against relocating U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko. Genta Koja, the main LDP-backed challenger and former Naha deputy mayor, trails significantly as the primary alternative in what has narrowed to an effective two-candidate contest. Recent developments include Tamaki’s April 2026 re-election announcement and reported wavering support tied to post-February national election shifts, while August reporting notes neither contender has secured a decisive edge one month out. Lower-probability options such as Mikio Shimoji and others reflect limited momentum amid the dominant Tamaki-Koja dynamic and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$1,265End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Denny Tamaki holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election, reflecting his established record as a two-term independent governor backed by opposition parties and his consistent stance against relocating U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma to Henoko. Genta Koja, the main LDP-backed challenger and former Naha deputy mayor, trails significantly as the primary alternative in what has narrowed to an effective two-candidate contest. Recent developments include Tamaki’s April 2026 re-election announcement and reported wavering support tied to post-February national election shifts, while August reporting notes neither contender has secured a decisive edge one month out. Lower-probability options such as Mikio Shimoji and others reflect limited momentum amid the dominant Tamaki-Koja dynamic and historical turnout patterns favoring the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions