Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's voter composition and historical results underpin the market's 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,838 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$15,937 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's voter composition and historical results underpin the market's 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,775End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's voter composition and historical results underpin the market's 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,775End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+28 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's voter composition and historical results underpin the market's 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal affecting the incumbent or an extreme national political realignment that overcomes the district's structural advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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