The NY-13 district's strong Democratic tilt, centered in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee following Darializa Avila Chevalier's primary victory over the prior incumbent. Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Republican organization and the party's consistent historical margins in the area. A weak or late Republican entrant further reinforces this positioning. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing in midterm turnout, or unusually strong third-party performance, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,078 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,445 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's strong Democratic tilt, centered in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee following Darializa Avila Chevalier's primary victory over the prior incumbent. Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Republican organization and the party's consistent historical margins in the area. A weak or late Republican entrant further reinforces this positioning. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing in midterm turnout, or unusually strong third-party performance, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$39,522End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-13 district's strong Democratic tilt, centered in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee following Darializa Avila Chevalier's primary victory over the prior incumbent. Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Republican organization and the party's consistent historical margins in the area. A weak or late Republican entrant further reinforces this positioning. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing in midterm turnout, or unusually strong third-party performance, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,522End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-13 district's strong Democratic tilt, centered in Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, anchors trader consensus around the party's nominee following Darializa Avila Chevalier's primary victory over the prior incumbent. Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, and similar nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting limited Republican organization and the party's consistent historical margins in the area. A weak or late Republican entrant further reinforces this positioning. Shifts could occur from an unforeseen scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, a sharp national swing in midterm turnout, or unusually strong third-party performance, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched local voting patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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