Spain's minority Socialist government under Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing pressure from multiple corruption investigations involving PSOE officials and associates, which fueled a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution (passed 177-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote. Opposition parties, led by the PP, have considered but declined to table a binding no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to prevail and the risk that defeat would bolster Sánchez. The administration's stability rests on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties such as Junts, amid tensions over migration issues and policy disputes, while Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out snap elections or early confidence tests before the scheduled 2027 general election. No procedural openings or coordinated opposition majorities have emerged since the June resolution, keeping the likelihood of a successful no-confidence vote low through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,198 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
32%
$17,198 Vol.
December 31
$2,830 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing pressure from multiple corruption investigations involving PSOE officials and associates, which fueled a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution (passed 177-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote. Opposition parties, led by the PP, have considered but declined to table a binding no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to prevail and the risk that defeat would bolster Sánchez. The administration's stability rests on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties such as Junts, amid tensions over migration issues and policy disputes, while Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out snap elections or early confidence tests before the scheduled 2027 general election. No procedural openings or coordinated opposition majorities have emerged since the June resolution, keeping the likelihood of a successful no-confidence vote low through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Volume
$17,198End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's minority Socialist government under Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing pressure from multiple corruption investigations involving PSOE officials and associates, which fueled a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution (passed 177-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote. Opposition parties, led by the PP, have considered but declined to table a binding no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to prevail and the risk that defeat would bolster Sánchez. The administration's stability rests on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties such as Junts, amid tensions over migration issues and policy disputes, while Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out snap elections or early confidence tests before the scheduled 2027 general election. No procedural openings or coordinated opposition majorities have emerged since the June resolution, keeping the likelihood of a successful no-confidence vote low through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez or the sitting Government of Spain is voted upon in the Congress of Deputies of Spain by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “motion of no-confidence” refers to a formal motion of censure under Spain’s constitutional procedures, including a candidate to replace Sanchez as Prime Minister. Informal calls for Sánchez to resign, requests for a confidence vote, parliamentary criticism, or other non-binding political statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,198End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 3:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spain's minority Socialist government under Pedro Sánchez faces ongoing pressure from multiple corruption investigations involving PSOE officials and associates, which fueled a non-binding June 2026 parliamentary resolution (passed 177-171) calling for his resignation or a confidence vote. Opposition parties, led by the PP, have considered but declined to table a binding no-confidence motion, citing insufficient votes to prevail and the risk that defeat would bolster Sánchez. The administration's stability rests on fragile support from Catalan separatist parties such as Junts, amid tensions over migration issues and policy disputes, while Sánchez has repeatedly ruled out snap elections or early confidence tests before the scheduled 2027 general election. No procedural openings or coordinated opposition majorities have emerged since the June resolution, keeping the likelihood of a successful no-confidence vote low through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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