Redistricting by North Carolina Republicans in late 2025 transformed the 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+9, prompting Democrats to field a low-profile challenger in Cyril Jefferson after primary wins for both parties on March 3, 2026. Incumbent Addison McDowell benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, while historical base rates for similar redrawn districts and the absence of competitive fundraising or national attention keep the race rated Solid Republican by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals three months before the November general election, with limited scope for shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-06 House Election Winner
NC-06 House Election Winner
$26,242 Vol.
$26,242 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
$26,242 Vol.
$26,242 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,971 Vol.
82%
Democratic Party
$9,271 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by North Carolina Republicans in late 2025 transformed the 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+9, prompting Democrats to field a low-profile challenger in Cyril Jefferson after primary wins for both parties on March 3, 2026. Incumbent Addison McDowell benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, while historical base rates for similar redrawn districts and the absence of competitive fundraising or national attention keep the race rated Solid Republican by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals three months before the November general election, with limited scope for shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$26,242End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by North Carolina Republicans in late 2025 transformed the 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+9, prompting Democrats to field a low-profile challenger in Cyril Jefferson after primary wins for both parties on March 3, 2026. Incumbent Addison McDowell benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, while historical base rates for similar redrawn districts and the absence of competitive fundraising or national attention keep the race rated Solid Republican by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals three months before the November general election, with limited scope for shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,242End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by North Carolina Republicans in late 2025 transformed the 6th congressional district into a strongly Republican seat with a partisan voting index of R+9, prompting Democrats to field a low-profile challenger in Cyril Jefferson after primary wins for both parties on March 3, 2026. Incumbent Addison McDowell benefits from this structural advantage and early polling leads, while historical base rates for similar redrawn districts and the absence of competitive fundraising or national attention keep the race rated Solid Republican by outlets such as the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals three months before the November general election, with limited scope for shifts absent major scandals or turnout surprises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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