Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota’s 8th congressional district. Stauber secured renomination with over 87 percent of the primary vote on August 11, while Swanson prevailed in a three-way Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with its 2024 results and underlying partisan composition centered on the Iron Range. The district’s voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or late developments that would alter the matchup, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$20,673 Vol.
$20,673 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
$20,673 Vol.
$20,673 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,159 Vol.
83%
Democratic Party
$9,514 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota’s 8th congressional district. Stauber secured renomination with over 87 percent of the primary vote on August 11, while Swanson prevailed in a three-way Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with its 2024 results and underlying partisan composition centered on the Iron Range. The district’s voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or late developments that would alter the matchup, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$20,673End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota’s 8th congressional district. Stauber secured renomination with over 87 percent of the primary vote on August 11, while Swanson prevailed in a three-way Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with its 2024 results and underlying partisan composition centered on the Iron Range. The district’s voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or late developments that would alter the matchup, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at current levels.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,673End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Pete Stauber faces Democratic nominee Trina Swanson in the November general election for Minnesota’s 8th congressional district. Stauber secured renomination with over 87 percent of the primary vote on August 11, while Swanson prevailed in a three-way Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with its 2024 results and underlying partisan composition centered on the Iron Range. The district’s voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive primary challenges or late developments that would alter the matchup, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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