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icon for Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner

icon for Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner

Polymarket

$693 Vol.

Polymarket

$693 Vol.

icon for Peggy Flanagan

Peggy Flanagan

$33 Vol.

7%

icon for Angie Craig

Angie Craig

$660 Vol.

92%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.Angie Craig holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this Dakota County-specific market because primary results from August 11 show her narrowly defeating Peggy Flanagan there by a slim margin amid full vote reporting. As the former representative for the surrounding suburban district, Craig benefited from stronger local name recognition and support among moderate voters in Dakota County compared with Flanagan's stronger performance in urban Hennepin and Ramsey counties. The overall statewide primary outcome, where Flanagan secured the nomination with roughly 59%, does not alter county-level tallies. Late-breaking developments such as a successful recount petition or widespread ballot challenges in Dakota County remain the main realistic paths that could shift trader assessments before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.
Volume
$693
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.Angie Craig holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability in this Dakota County-specific market because primary results from August 11 show her narrowly defeating Peggy Flanagan there by a slim margin amid full vote reporting. As the former representative for the surrounding suburban district, Craig benefited from stronger local name recognition and support among moderate voters in Dakota County compared with Flanagan's stronger performance in urban Hennepin and Ramsey counties. The overall statewide primary outcome, where Flanagan secured the nomination with roughly 59%, does not alter county-level tallies. Late-breaking developments such as a successful recount petition or widespread ballot challenges in Dakota County remain the main realistic paths that could shift trader assessments before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.
Volume
$693
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dakota County in the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate from Minnesota, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dakota County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Minnesota including the Minnesota Secretary of State and the government of Dakota County.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Angie Craig" at 92%, followed by "Peggy Flanagan" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner" is "Angie Craig" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Peggy Flanagan" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary: Dakota County Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.