**SPD holds a strong lead for second place in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with recent polls showing the party at 27–29% behind the AfD’s 35–36%.** Consistent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA through early August confirm this gap, with Die Linke, CDU, BSW, and smaller parties trailing further behind at 3–12%. The incumbent SPD, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from established regional support and has narrowed the AfD’s lead modestly in the final campaign weeks without threatening first place. Trader pricing reflects this polling stability, with limited volatility expected absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition signals among opposition parties. The election date and five-year cycle further anchor expectations around these trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSPD 86%
AfD 14.3%
FW <1%
CDU <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
86%
AfD
14%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD 86%
AfD 14.3%
FW <1%
CDU <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
$1,326 Vol.
86%
AfD
$1,371 Vol.
14%
FW
$458 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$381 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$425 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$610 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$424 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$365 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong lead for second place in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with recent polls showing the party at 27–29% behind the AfD’s 35–36%.**
Consistent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA through early August confirm this gap, with Die Linke, CDU, BSW, and smaller parties trailing further behind at 3–12%. The incumbent SPD, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from established regional support and has narrowed the AfD’s lead modestly in the final campaign weeks without threatening first place. Trader pricing reflects this polling stability, with limited volatility expected absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition signals among opposition parties. The election date and five-year cycle further anchor expectations around these trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$5,360End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**SPD holds a strong lead for second place in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with recent polls showing the party at 27–29% behind the AfD’s 35–36%.**
Consistent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA through early August confirm this gap, with Die Linke, CDU, BSW, and smaller parties trailing further behind at 3–12%. The incumbent SPD, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from established regional support and has narrowed the AfD’s lead modestly in the final campaign weeks without threatening first place. Trader pricing reflects this polling stability, with limited volatility expected absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition signals among opposition parties. The election date and five-year cycle further anchor expectations around these trends.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$5,360End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**SPD holds a strong lead for second place in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, with recent polls showing the party at 27–29% behind the AfD’s 35–36%.** Consistent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA through early August confirm this gap, with Die Linke, CDU, BSW, and smaller parties trailing further behind at 3–12%. The incumbent SPD, led by Minister-President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from established regional support and has narrowed the AfD’s lead modestly in the final campaign weeks without threatening first place. Trader pricing reflects this polling stability, with limited volatility expected absent major late shifts in turnout or coalition signals among opposition parties. The election date and five-year cycle further anchor expectations around these trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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