Kweisi Mfume's position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland's 7th congressional district anchors the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Mfume's decisive victory in the June 2026 primary, has limited any meaningful Republican challenge to 1.8 percent. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating for the seat, reflecting structural voter registration advantages and limited crossover support. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen health event for the incumbent, a major undisclosed scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$24,360 Vol.
$24,360 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$9,087 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland's 7th congressional district anchors the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Mfume's decisive victory in the June 2026 primary, has limited any meaningful Republican challenge to 1.8 percent. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating for the seat, reflecting structural voter registration advantages and limited crossover support. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen health event for the incumbent, a major undisclosed scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,360End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kweisi Mfume's position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland's 7th congressional district anchors the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Mfume's decisive victory in the June 2026 primary, has limited any meaningful Republican challenge to 1.8 percent. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating for the seat, reflecting structural voter registration advantages and limited crossover support. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen health event for the incumbent, a major undisclosed scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,360End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kweisi Mfume's position as the Democratic incumbent in Maryland's 7th congressional district anchors the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent. The district's consistent Democratic performance in prior cycles, combined with Mfume's decisive victory in the June 2026 primary, has limited any meaningful Republican challenge to 1.8 percent. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Democratic rating for the seat, reflecting structural voter registration advantages and limited crossover support. Late developments that could narrow the margin remain narrow in scope, such as an unforeseen health event for the incumbent, a major undisclosed scandal, or an unusually strong Republican recruitment effort ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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