Maryland's 1st congressional district, covering the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 margin. No major shifts from redistricting, polling, or candidate developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election, though the district's underlying partisan composition remains the dominant factor reflected in current market prices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$30,417 Vol.
$30,417 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
$30,417 Vol.
$30,417 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,335 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$12,082 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district, covering the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 margin. No major shifts from redistricting, polling, or candidate developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election, though the district's underlying partisan composition remains the dominant factor reflected in current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$30,417End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district, covering the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 margin. No major shifts from redistricting, polling, or candidate developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election, though the district's underlying partisan composition remains the dominant factor reflected in current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,417End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district, covering the Eastern Shore and parts of Harford and Baltimore counties, maintains a consistent Republican tilt that underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 83.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Harris's 2024 margin. No major shifts from redistricting, polling, or candidate developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election, though the district's underlying partisan composition remains the dominant factor reflected in current market prices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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