The crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Maynas provincial mayoral election in Peru has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender establishing a dominant position in the seven weeks before voting. Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez holds the highest implied probability at 40 percent amid this fragmentation, followed by several others in the mid-30s, reflecting limited polling data and the typical volatility of local Peruvian contests where party labels and personal networks often outweigh national trends. Recent candidate inscriptions, alliance formations, and early campaign activity have yet to produce clear separation, leaving outcomes sensitive to late shifts from endorsements, debates, turnout patterns in Iquitos and surrounding districts, or any withdrawals that could consolidate support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaynas Mayoral Election Winner
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 40%
Juan Aguilar Gómez 39%
Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar 38%
Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez 37%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
40%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
39%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
38%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
37%

Deiby Marín Ortega
37%

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
37%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
37%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
37%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
37%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
36%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
36%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
36%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
36%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
36%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
36%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
36%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
36%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
35%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
27%
Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez 40%
Juan Aguilar Gómez 39%
Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar 38%
Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez 37%

Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez
40%

Juan Aguilar Gómez
39%

Richard Arturo Vásquez Salazar
38%

Sergio Antonio Donayre Ramírez
37%

Deiby Marín Ortega
37%

Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo
37%

Rubén Antonio Hernández Del Águila
37%

Jenson Harold Rolando Mariñas Cárdenas
37%

Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes
37%

Jean Pier López Sifuentes
36%

Sivily Maritza Paz Pérez
36%

Nery Mozombite Cerrón
36%

Antony Jhonatan Pinedo Lozano
36%

Cleiver Inuma Chávez
36%

Ernesto Concha La Torre
36%

Cynthia Stefani Gómez Gómez
36%

Euler Carlos Hernández Arévalo
36%

Enrique Augusto Rodríguez Morales
35%

Tony Jonatan Mori Vargas
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Maynas as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Maynas provincial mayoral election in Peru has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with no single contender establishing a dominant position in the seven weeks before voting. Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez holds the highest implied probability at 40 percent amid this fragmentation, followed by several others in the mid-30s, reflecting limited polling data and the typical volatility of local Peruvian contests where party labels and personal networks often outweigh national trends. Recent candidate inscriptions, alliance formations, and early campaign activity have yet to produce clear separation, leaving outcomes sensitive to late shifts from endorsements, debates, turnout patterns in Iquitos and surrounding districts, or any withdrawals that could consolidate support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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