Maryland voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, after the Democratic-controlled General Assembly approved the constitutional amendment during an August special session and the state Supreme Court cleared it for the ballot in early September following lower-court challenges. The measure would limit compactness and natural-boundary standards to state legislative districts only, affirm no state constitutional criteria for congressional lines, and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over related suits. This setup responds to prior court blocks on maps targeting the state’s single Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, trader consensus at 69.5% for passage aligns with historical support for legislatively referred amendments and the party’s structural advantages, though recent opposition polling and undecided voters introduce some uncertainty ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated71% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
71% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, after the Democratic-controlled General Assembly approved the constitutional amendment during an August special session and the state Supreme Court cleared it for the ballot in early September following lower-court challenges. The measure would limit compactness and natural-boundary standards to state legislative districts only, affirm no state constitutional criteria for congressional lines, and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over related suits. This setup responds to prior court blocks on maps targeting the state’s single Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, trader consensus at 69.5% for passage aligns with historical support for legislatively referred amendments and the party’s structural advantages, though recent opposition polling and undecided voters introduce some uncertainty ahead of election day.
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/). Maryland voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, after the Democratic-controlled General Assembly approved the constitutional amendment during an August special session and the state Supreme Court cleared it for the ballot in early September following lower-court challenges. The measure would limit compactness and natural-boundary standards to state legislative districts only, affirm no state constitutional criteria for congressional lines, and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over related suits. This setup responds to prior court blocks on maps targeting the state’s single Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, trader consensus at 69.5% for passage aligns with historical support for legislatively referred amendments and the party’s structural advantages, though recent opposition polling and undecided voters introduce some uncertainty ahead of election day.
Maryland Question 3 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would loosen the requirements for the drawing of federal congressional districts in the State of Maryland, among other measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Maryland statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Maryland, including the Maryland Board of Elections (https://elections.maryland.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Maryland voters will decide Question 3 on November 3, 2026, after the Democratic-controlled General Assembly approved the constitutional amendment during an August special session and the state Supreme Court cleared it for the ballot in early September following lower-court challenges. The measure would limit compactness and natural-boundary standards to state legislative districts only, affirm no state constitutional criteria for congressional lines, and authorize original Supreme Court jurisdiction over related suits. This setup responds to prior court blocks on maps targeting the state’s single Republican-held seat. In a heavily Democratic state, trader consensus at 69.5% for passage aligns with historical support for legislatively referred amendments and the party’s structural advantages, though recent opposition polling and undecided voters introduce some uncertainty ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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