South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural threshold for any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung to reach a plenary vote or secure the required two-thirds support. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee without advancing, reflecting the ruling party’s control. Recent local elections delivered gains for the Democratic Party despite modest erosion in Lee’s approval ratings into the low-to-mid 50s. Lee has prioritized pragmatic governance and coalition-building since taking office in 2025, with no major legislative defeats or scandals emerging in the past month that would alter the assembly’s balance. Traders therefore assign very low probability to successful impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$19,133 Vol.
$19,133 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural threshold for any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung to reach a plenary vote or secure the required two-thirds support. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee without advancing, reflecting the ruling party’s control. Recent local elections delivered gains for the Democratic Party despite modest erosion in Lee’s approval ratings into the low-to-mid 50s. Lee has prioritized pragmatic governance and coalition-building since taking office in 2025, with no major legislative defeats or scandals emerging in the past month that would alter the assembly’s balance. Traders therefore assign very low probability to successful impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural threshold for any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung to reach a plenary vote or secure the required two-thirds support. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee without advancing, reflecting the ruling party’s control. Recent local elections delivered gains for the Democratic Party despite modest erosion in Lee’s approval ratings into the low-to-mid 50s. Lee has prioritized pragmatic governance and coalition-building since taking office in 2025, with no major legislative defeats or scandals emerging in the past month that would alter the assembly’s balance. Traders therefore assign very low probability to successful impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$19,133End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a high procedural threshold for any impeachment motion against President Lee Jae-myung to reach a plenary vote or secure the required two-thirds support. A June 2026 citizen petition demanding his removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee without advancing, reflecting the ruling party’s control. Recent local elections delivered gains for the Democratic Party despite modest erosion in Lee’s approval ratings into the low-to-mid 50s. Lee has prioritized pragmatic governance and coalition-building since taking office in 2025, with no major legislative defeats or scandals emerging in the past month that would alter the assembly’s balance. Traders therefore assign very low probability to successful impeachment proceedings before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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