Bipartisan bills introduced in Congress in March 2026, such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and measures from Sens. Merkley, Warren, and others, sought to amend the Commodity Exchange Act and bar CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports event contracts. These proposals have not advanced to enactment amid ongoing CFTC rulemaking on event contracts, state-level challenges asserting authority over sports wagering, and active litigation involving platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. State actions, including attempted bans in Minnesota and elsewhere with court interventions, plus a Senate ethics resolution limiting member participation, have not translated into federal legislation. Traders price an 78% chance of no nationwide ban this year based on the lack of floor votes, committee progress, or broad legislative momentum through mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
20% chance
$17,796 Vol.
$17,796 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
20% chance
$17,796 Vol.
$17,796 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan bills introduced in Congress in March 2026, such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and measures from Sens. Merkley, Warren, and others, sought to amend the Commodity Exchange Act and bar CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports event contracts. These proposals have not advanced to enactment amid ongoing CFTC rulemaking on event contracts, state-level challenges asserting authority over sports wagering, and active litigation involving platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. State actions, including attempted bans in Minnesota and elsewhere with court interventions, plus a Senate ethics resolution limiting member participation, have not translated into federal legislation. Traders price an 78% chance of no nationwide ban this year based on the lack of floor votes, committee progress, or broad legislative momentum through mid-August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$17,796End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Bipartisan bills introduced in Congress in March 2026, such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and measures from Sens. Merkley, Warren, and others, sought to amend the Commodity Exchange Act and bar CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports event contracts. These proposals have not advanced to enactment amid ongoing CFTC rulemaking on event contracts, state-level challenges asserting authority over sports wagering, and active litigation involving platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. State actions, including attempted bans in Minnesota and elsewhere with court interventions, plus a Senate ethics resolution limiting member participation, have not translated into federal legislation. Traders price an 78% chance of no nationwide ban this year based on the lack of floor votes, committee progress, or broad legislative momentum through mid-August.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$17,796End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan bills introduced in Congress in March 2026, such as the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and measures from Sens. Merkley, Warren, and others, sought to amend the Commodity Exchange Act and bar CFTC-registered platforms from offering sports event contracts. These proposals have not advanced to enactment amid ongoing CFTC rulemaking on event contracts, state-level challenges asserting authority over sports wagering, and active litigation involving platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. State actions, including attempted bans in Minnesota and elsewhere with court interventions, plus a Senate ethics resolution limiting member participation, have not translated into federal legislation. Traders price an 78% chance of no nationwide ban this year based on the lack of floor votes, committee progress, or broad legislative momentum through mid-August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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