Recent economic releases and the July FOMC outcome anchor trader sentiment around multiple dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. The committee’s 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, established a baseline of three hawkish votes driven by PCE inflation holding near 3.7 percent year-over-year and core at 3.3 percent amid energy supply shocks. Softening labor data, including July’s -23,000 payrolls print and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate, have tempered expectations for broader support of tightening yet have not shifted the known regional presidents’ stance. With the August employment report due September 4 and additional inflation figures ahead of the meeting, implied probabilities reflect ongoing internal divisions, positioning three dissents as the modal outcome while leaving room for four or more if price pressures reaccelerate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 37%
4+ 23%
1 17%
2 16%
$10,977 Vol.
$10,977 Vol.
0
15%
1
17%
2
16%
3
37%
4+
23%
3 37%
4+ 23%
1 17%
2 16%
$10,977 Vol.
$10,977 Vol.
0
15%
1
17%
2
16%
3
37%
4+
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic releases and the July FOMC outcome anchor trader sentiment around multiple dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. The committee’s 9-3 vote to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent, with Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, established a baseline of three hawkish votes driven by PCE inflation holding near 3.7 percent year-over-year and core at 3.3 percent amid energy supply shocks. Softening labor data, including July’s -23,000 payrolls print and a 4.1 percent unemployment rate, have tempered expectations for broader support of tightening yet have not shifted the known regional presidents’ stance. With the August employment report due September 4 and additional inflation figures ahead of the meeting, implied probabilities reflect ongoing internal divisions, positioning three dissents as the modal outcome while leaving room for four or more if price pressures reaccelerate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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