President Trump’s renewed effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, announced via White House letter on August 5, 2026, centers on pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations and gives her until August 26 to respond. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling requiring due process before any “for cause” termination under the Federal Reserve Act, after an earlier 2025 firing attempt was blocked. Cook’s term runs through 2038, and her continued service preserves the central bank’s insulation from political pressure amid ongoing litigation. Trader sentiment on near-term exit probabilities reflects the procedural hurdles, potential court challenges, and broader implications for monetary policy independence, with any resolution likely tied to legal milestones rather than immediate removal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
2%
October 31
3%
November 30
5%
December 31
7%
$4,626 Vol.
September 30
$1,234 Vol.
2%
October 31
$1,236 Vol.
3%
November 30
$939 Vol.
5%
December 31
$1,217 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, announced via White House letter on August 5, 2026, centers on pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations and gives her until August 26 to respond. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling requiring due process before any “for cause” termination under the Federal Reserve Act, after an earlier 2025 firing attempt was blocked. Cook’s term runs through 2038, and her continued service preserves the central bank’s insulation from political pressure amid ongoing litigation. Trader sentiment on near-term exit probabilities reflects the procedural hurdles, potential court challenges, and broader implications for monetary policy independence, with any resolution likely tied to legal milestones rather than immediate removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$4,626End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, announced via White House letter on August 5, 2026, centers on pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations and gives her until August 26 to respond. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling requiring due process before any “for cause” termination under the Federal Reserve Act, after an earlier 2025 firing attempt was blocked. Cook’s term runs through 2038, and her continued service preserves the central bank’s insulation from political pressure amid ongoing litigation. Trader sentiment on near-term exit probabilities reflects the procedural hurdles, potential court challenges, and broader implications for monetary policy independence, with any resolution likely tied to legal milestones rather than immediate removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$4,626End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, announced via White House letter on August 5, 2026, centers on pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations and gives her until August 26 to respond. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling requiring due process before any “for cause” termination under the Federal Reserve Act, after an earlier 2025 firing attempt was blocked. Cook’s term runs through 2038, and her continued service preserves the central bank’s insulation from political pressure amid ongoing litigation. Trader sentiment on near-term exit probabilities reflects the procedural hurdles, potential court challenges, and broader implications for monetary policy independence, with any resolution likely tied to legal milestones rather than immediate removal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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