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Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

Shevrin Jones 82%

Oliver Gilbert 19%

Roderick Vereen <1%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$21,873 Vol.

Shevrin Jones 82%

Oliver Gilbert 19%

Roderick Vereen <1%

Kendrick Meek Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$21,873 Vol.

Shevrin Jones

$9,256 Vol.

82%

Oliver Gilbert

$8,077 Vol.

19%

Roderick Vereen

$866 Vol.

1%

Kendrick Meek Jr.

$1,375 Vol.

<1%

Rudy Moise

$934 Vol.

<1%

Marshall Davis Sr.

$604 Vol.

<1%

Jean Monestime

$762 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Shevrin Jones leads the FL-24 Democratic primary field with an 81.5% implied probability, driven by recent polling showing him ahead of Miami-Dade County Commission Chair Oliver Gilbert III by 9–10 points among likely voters just days before the August 18 primary. Jones, a longtime state senator, benefits from broad demographic support and consistent fundraising, while Gilbert holds a distant second at 19% amid an endorsement from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson. Multiple lesser-known candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The race remains focused on local issues like affordability in the heavily Democratic Miami-Dade and southern Broward district, with trader consensus reflecting Jones’s frontrunner status in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,873
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Shevrin Jones leads the FL-24 Democratic primary field with an 81.5% implied probability, driven by recent polling showing him ahead of Miami-Dade County Commission Chair Oliver Gilbert III by 9–10 points among likely voters just days before the August 18 primary. Jones, a longtime state senator, benefits from broad demographic support and consistent fundraising, while Gilbert holds a distant second at 19% amid an endorsement from retiring incumbent Frederica Wilson. Multiple lesser-known candidates trail far behind with minimal polling traction. The race remains focused on local issues like affordability in the heavily Democratic Miami-Dade and southern Broward district, with trader consensus reflecting Jones’s frontrunner status in the final stretch.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,873
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shevrin Jones" at 82%, followed by "Oliver Gilbert" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $21.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Shevrin Jones" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oliver Gilbert" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.