Joe Strada leads the FL-11 Republican primary market at 68% amid an open-seat contest following incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement. His substantial self-funding has created a decisive spending advantage over rivals including Carey Baker and Tim Wilkins, who trail at 24.5% and 6.5%. Recent candidate forums and debates in July and early August featured Baker, Wilkins, Ivette Palomo, and Nizam Razack but excluded Strada, while attack ads between the top two contenders have intensified. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, with trader consensus reflecting Strada's resource edge alongside limited polling visibility for lesser-known entrants.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoe Strada 68%
Carey Baker 25%
Tim Wilkins 7%
Ivette Palomo <1%
$18,764 Vol.
$18,764 Vol.
Joe Strada
68%
Carey Baker
25%
Tim Wilkins
7%
Ivette Palomo
1%
Nizam Razack
<1%
Joe Strada 68%
Carey Baker 25%
Tim Wilkins 7%
Ivette Palomo <1%
$18,764 Vol.
$18,764 Vol.
Joe Strada
68%
Carey Baker
25%
Tim Wilkins
7%
Ivette Palomo
1%
Nizam Razack
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Joe Strada leads the FL-11 Republican primary market at 68% amid an open-seat contest following incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement. His substantial self-funding has created a decisive spending advantage over rivals including Carey Baker and Tim Wilkins, who trail at 24.5% and 6.5%. Recent candidate forums and debates in July and early August featured Baker, Wilkins, Ivette Palomo, and Nizam Razack but excluded Strada, while attack ads between the top two contenders have intensified. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, with trader consensus reflecting Strada's resource edge alongside limited polling visibility for lesser-known entrants.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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