The August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 7th congressional district features incumbent Cory Mills against challengers Ryan Elijah, Michael Johnson, and Sarah Ulrich. Recent polling shows Mills holding a modest lead but well below majority support, while Elijah remains within striking distance amid high undecided voters. Trader consensus places Elijah narrowly ahead, reflecting Mills’ exposure to ethics scrutiny, the absence of key endorsements from figures including Gov. Ron DeSantis, and limited Trump backing. The contest stays tight because the field remains fragmented, fundraising is competitive, and late shifts in voter sentiment or turnout among Republican primary participants could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRyan Elijah 57%
Cory Mills 40%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$30,771 Vol.
$30,771 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
57%
Cory Mills
40%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Sarah Ulrich
<1%
Ryan Elijah 57%
Cory Mills 40%
Mike Johnson <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$30,771 Vol.
$30,771 Vol.
Ryan Elijah
57%
Cory Mills
40%
Mike Johnson
<1%
Sarah Ulrich
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 7th congressional district features incumbent Cory Mills against challengers Ryan Elijah, Michael Johnson, and Sarah Ulrich. Recent polling shows Mills holding a modest lead but well below majority support, while Elijah remains within striking distance amid high undecided voters. Trader consensus places Elijah narrowly ahead, reflecting Mills’ exposure to ethics scrutiny, the absence of key endorsements from figures including Gov. Ron DeSantis, and limited Trump backing. The contest stays tight because the field remains fragmented, fundraising is competitive, and late shifts in voter sentiment or turnout among Republican primary participants could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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