**Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the remainder of 2026, with his current term scheduled to conclude in 2028.** The ruling AKP maintains parliamentary control, and recent actions against the main opposition CHP—including the 2025 imprisonment of Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu—have reduced near-term challenges to the incumbent’s position. Discussions within the AKP about snap elections or constitutional adjustments focus on extending influence into or beyond the 2028 cycle rather than prompting an early exit. Erdoğan has publicly affirmed plans to retire at the end of his term, and no scheduled votes, health developments, or institutional pressures indicate removal or resignation before December 31, 2026. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of credible short-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6% chance
$612,176 Vol.
$612,176 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 3.25%
6% chance
$612,176 Vol.
$612,176 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the remainder of 2026, with his current term scheduled to conclude in 2028.** The ruling AKP maintains parliamentary control, and recent actions against the main opposition CHP—including the 2025 imprisonment of Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu—have reduced near-term challenges to the incumbent’s position. Discussions within the AKP about snap elections or constitutional adjustments focus on extending influence into or beyond the 2028 cycle rather than prompting an early exit. Erdoğan has publicly affirmed plans to retire at the end of his term, and no scheduled votes, health developments, or institutional pressures indicate removal or resignation before December 31, 2026. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of credible short-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$612,176End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the remainder of 2026, with his current term scheduled to conclude in 2028.** The ruling AKP maintains parliamentary control, and recent actions against the main opposition CHP—including the 2025 imprisonment of Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu—have reduced near-term challenges to the incumbent’s position. Discussions within the AKP about snap elections or constitutional adjustments focus on extending influence into or beyond the 2028 cycle rather than prompting an early exit. Erdoğan has publicly affirmed plans to retire at the end of his term, and no scheduled votes, health developments, or institutional pressures indicate removal or resignation before December 31, 2026. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of credible short-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$612,176End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
**Erdoğan remains firmly entrenched as Turkey’s president through the remainder of 2026, with his current term scheduled to conclude in 2028.** The ruling AKP maintains parliamentary control, and recent actions against the main opposition CHP—including the 2025 imprisonment of Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu—have reduced near-term challenges to the incumbent’s position. Discussions within the AKP about snap elections or constitutional adjustments focus on extending influence into or beyond the 2028 cycle rather than prompting an early exit. Erdoğan has publicly affirmed plans to retire at the end of his term, and no scheduled votes, health developments, or institutional pressures indicate removal or resignation before December 31, 2026. Traders price the low probability of departure accordingly, reflecting the absence of credible short-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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