Skip to main content
icon for Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ryan Fazio 100.0%

Erin Stewart <1%

Timothy Wilcox <1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$25,289 Vol.

Ryan Fazio 100.0%

Erin Stewart <1%

Timothy Wilcox <1%

Betsy McCaughey <1%

Polymarket

$25,289 Vol.

icon for Ryan Fazio

Ryan Fazio

$11,291 Vol.

100%

icon for Erin Stewart

Erin Stewart

$5,025 Vol.

<1%

icon for Timothy Wilcox

Timothy Wilcox

$6,487 Vol.

<1%

icon for Betsy McCaughey

Betsy McCaughey

$1,674 Vol.

<1%

icon for Harry Arora

Harry Arora

$812 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican nomination for Connecticut governor after winning roughly 92 percent of delegate votes on the first ballot at the state convention in May 2026, prompting other candidates including Erin Stewart to withdraw and endorse him. The scheduled August 11 primary was subsequently canceled because no opponents remained, leaving Fazio as the uncontested nominee. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Fazio reflects this outcome and the absence of any active primary contest. Potential developments that could still alter the result include successful legal challenges to convention procedures, late qualifying petitions, or party rule changes before formal certification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,289
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ryan Fazio secured the Republican nomination for Connecticut governor after winning roughly 92 percent of delegate votes on the first ballot at the state convention in May 2026, prompting other candidates including Erin Stewart to withdraw and endorse him. The scheduled August 11 primary was subsequently canceled because no opponents remained, leaving Fazio as the uncontested nominee. Trader consensus at 100 percent for Fazio reflects this outcome and the absence of any active primary contest. Potential developments that could still alter the result include successful legal challenges to convention procedures, late qualifying petitions, or party rule changes before formal certification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$25,289
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 9:57 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ryan Fazio" at 100%, followed by "Erin Stewart" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ryan Fazio" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erin Stewart" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Connecticut Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.