Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 in November 2026, a measure that would require school and college athletic teams to be designated strictly by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy, effectively barring transgender students from teams matching their gender identity. The initiative qualified for the ballot in March after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 valid signatures, joining parallel measures in Arizona and Washington amid a broader wave of state-level restrictions. Opponents, including LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, have launched counter-campaigns emphasizing participation and mental health impacts, while supporters highlight fairness in female categories. With no dominant polling available and Colorado's mixed electorate on the issue, the 55% implied probability reflects trader assessment of competitive voter sentiment in a blue state facing organized opposition and concurrent ballot questions on related youth medical procedures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated57% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
57% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 in November 2026, a measure that would require school and college athletic teams to be designated strictly by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy, effectively barring transgender students from teams matching their gender identity. The initiative qualified for the ballot in March after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 valid signatures, joining parallel measures in Arizona and Washington amid a broader wave of state-level restrictions. Opponents, including LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, have launched counter-campaigns emphasizing participation and mental health impacts, while supporters highlight fairness in female categories. With no dominant polling available and Colorado's mixed electorate on the issue, the 55% implied probability reflects trader assessment of competitive voter sentiment in a blue state facing organized opposition and concurrent ballot questions on related youth medical procedures.
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,462End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/). Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 in November 2026, a measure that would require school and college athletic teams to be designated strictly by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy, effectively barring transgender students from teams matching their gender identity. The initiative qualified for the ballot in March after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 valid signatures, joining parallel measures in Arizona and Washington amid a broader wave of state-level restrictions. Opponents, including LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, have launched counter-campaigns emphasizing participation and mental health impacts, while supporters highlight fairness in female categories. With no dominant polling available and Colorado's mixed electorate on the issue, the 55% implied probability reflects trader assessment of competitive voter sentiment in a blue state facing organized opposition and concurrent ballot questions on related youth medical procedures.
Colorado Initiative 109 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school and college sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Colorado statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Colorado, including the Colorado Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.co.us/).
Volume
$1,462End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Colorado voters will decide Initiative 109 in November 2026, a measure that would require school and college athletic teams to be designated strictly by biological sex based on reproductive anatomy, effectively barring transgender students from teams matching their gender identity. The initiative qualified for the ballot in March after Protect Kids Colorado submitted over 168,000 valid signatures, joining parallel measures in Arizona and Washington amid a broader wave of state-level restrictions. Opponents, including LGBTQ+ advocacy groups, have launched counter-campaigns emphasizing participation and mental health impacts, while supporters highlight fairness in female categories. With no dominant polling available and Colorado's mixed electorate on the issue, the 55% implied probability reflects trader assessment of competitive voter sentiment in a blue state facing organized opposition and concurrent ballot questions on related youth medical procedures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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