The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored in Denver, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Melat Kiros secured the nomination in the June 30 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, preserving the party's structural advantage in a seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Christy Peterson, faces an unopposed primary path but limited headroom in the district. While late developments such as candidate scandals, health events, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, the current environment shows few catalysts capable of altering the outcome ahead of Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-01 House Election Winner
CO-01 House Election Winner
$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$31,816 Vol.
$31,816 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,555 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$18,261 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored in Denver, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Melat Kiros secured the nomination in the June 30 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, preserving the party's structural advantage in a seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Christy Peterson, faces an unopposed primary path but limited headroom in the district. While late developments such as candidate scandals, health events, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, the current environment shows few catalysts capable of altering the outcome ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$31,816End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored in Denver, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Melat Kiros secured the nomination in the June 30 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, preserving the party's structural advantage in a seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Christy Peterson, faces an unopposed primary path but limited headroom in the district. While late developments such as candidate scandals, health events, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, the current environment shows few catalysts capable of altering the outcome ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,816End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Colorado's 1st Congressional District, anchored in Denver, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5% implied probability for the November 2026 general election. Melat Kiros secured the nomination in the June 30 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette, preserving the party's structural advantage in a seat with a partisan voting index exceeding D+29 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The Republican nominee, Christy Peterson, faces an unopposed primary path but limited headroom in the district. While late developments such as candidate scandals, health events, or broader national shifts could narrow the gap, the current environment shows few catalysts capable of altering the outcome ahead of Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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