**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 0.2-0.3% month-over-month increase in Canada’s June 2026 GDP, priced at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment with Statistics Canada’s preliminary monthly GDP by industry data.** Recent readings showed a 0.3% gain in May, supported by 0.6% expansion in goods-producing sectors—led by a 1% rise in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—and 0.2% services growth from real estate and retail trade. These factors offset contractions in utilities, agriculture, and wholesale trade, producing a resilient yet modest print consistent with Q2 rebound estimates now revised higher to around 2.2–3.4% annualized. Broader context includes a shallow Q1 contraction and Bank of Canada projections for subdued 2026 annual growth near 0.7–1.5%, with upcoming August data releases and any final revisions serving as the primary near-term catalysts for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.2-0.3% 67%
0.0-0.1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0.0% 1.7%
$14,418 Vol.
$14,418 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
2%
0.0-0.1%
8%
0.2-0.3%
67%
0.4-0.5%
12%
0.6-0.7%
<1%
0.8%+
<1%
0.2-0.3% 67%
0.0-0.1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 13.9%
<0.0% 1.7%
$14,418 Vol.
$14,418 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
$999 Vol.
2%
0.0-0.1%
$2,750 Vol.
8%
0.2-0.3%
$7,623 Vol.
67%
0.4-0.5%
$1,508 Vol.
12%
0.6-0.7%
$831 Vol.
<1%
0.8%+
$708 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 0.2-0.3% month-over-month increase in Canada’s June 2026 GDP, priced at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment with Statistics Canada’s preliminary monthly GDP by industry data.** Recent readings showed a 0.3% gain in May, supported by 0.6% expansion in goods-producing sectors—led by a 1% rise in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—and 0.2% services growth from real estate and retail trade. These factors offset contractions in utilities, agriculture, and wholesale trade, producing a resilient yet modest print consistent with Q2 rebound estimates now revised higher to around 2.2–3.4% annualized. Broader context includes a shallow Q1 contraction and Bank of Canada projections for subdued 2026 annual growth near 0.7–1.5%, with upcoming August data releases and any final revisions serving as the primary near-term catalysts for this market.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$14,418End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 0.2-0.3% month-over-month increase in Canada’s June 2026 GDP, priced at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment with Statistics Canada’s preliminary monthly GDP by industry data.** Recent readings showed a 0.3% gain in May, supported by 0.6% expansion in goods-producing sectors—led by a 1% rise in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—and 0.2% services growth from real estate and retail trade. These factors offset contractions in utilities, agriculture, and wholesale trade, producing a resilient yet modest print consistent with Q2 rebound estimates now revised higher to around 2.2–3.4% annualized. Broader context includes a shallow Q1 contraction and Bank of Canada projections for subdued 2026 annual growth near 0.7–1.5%, with upcoming August data releases and any final revisions serving as the primary near-term catalysts for this market.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$14,418End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a 0.2-0.3% month-over-month increase in Canada’s June 2026 GDP, priced at 66.5% implied probability, reflecting alignment with Statistics Canada’s preliminary monthly GDP by industry data.** Recent readings showed a 0.3% gain in May, supported by 0.6% expansion in goods-producing sectors—led by a 1% rise in mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction amid elevated energy prices—and 0.2% services growth from real estate and retail trade. These factors offset contractions in utilities, agriculture, and wholesale trade, producing a resilient yet modest print consistent with Q2 rebound estimates now revised higher to around 2.2–3.4% annualized. Broader context includes a shallow Q1 contraction and Bank of Canada projections for subdued 2026 annual growth near 0.7–1.5%, with upcoming August data releases and any final revisions serving as the primary near-term catalysts for this market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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