Esteban "Steve" Guerra holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the 2026 Cameron County Judge race after defeating long-serving Democratic incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26 primary runoff, securing the party nomination in a county where Democratic voters have dominated recent elections. This outcome reflects strong primary turnout and voter preference for change in local leadership. Mauro Garza and other listed candidates trail significantly at 5% or lower, consistent with limited visibility in a race centered on the Democratic primary. Trader consensus could shift if a strong Republican challenger emerges with broad crossover appeal or if unexpected legal or eligibility issues arise before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
2026 Cameron County Judge Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
94%
Mauro Garza
4%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Esteban "Steve" Guerra
$5,473 Vol.
94%
Mauro Garza
$414 Vol.
4%
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the 2026 Cameron County Judge race after defeating long-serving Democratic incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26 primary runoff, securing the party nomination in a county where Democratic voters have dominated recent elections. This outcome reflects strong primary turnout and voter preference for change in local leadership. Mauro Garza and other listed candidates trail significantly at 5% or lower, consistent with limited visibility in a race centered on the Democratic primary. Trader consensus could shift if a strong Republican challenger emerges with broad crossover appeal or if unexpected legal or eligibility issues arise before the November general election.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$5,888End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.Esteban "Steve" Guerra holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the 2026 Cameron County Judge race after defeating long-serving Democratic incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26 primary runoff, securing the party nomination in a county where Democratic voters have dominated recent elections. This outcome reflects strong primary turnout and voter preference for change in local leadership. Mauro Garza and other listed candidates trail significantly at 5% or lower, consistent with limited visibility in a race centered on the Democratic primary. Trader consensus could shift if a strong Republican challenger emerges with broad crossover appeal or if unexpected legal or eligibility issues arise before the November general election.
The 2026 Cameron County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Cameron County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Cameron County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Cameron County.
Volume
$5,888End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esteban "Steve" Guerra holds a commanding 93.5% implied probability in the 2026 Cameron County Judge race after defeating long-serving Democratic incumbent Eddie Trevino Jr. in the May 26 primary runoff, securing the party nomination in a county where Democratic voters have dominated recent elections. This outcome reflects strong primary turnout and voter preference for change in local leadership. Mauro Garza and other listed candidates trail significantly at 5% or lower, consistent with limited visibility in a race centered on the Democratic primary. Trader consensus could shift if a strong Republican challenger emerges with broad crossover appeal or if unexpected legal or eligibility issues arise before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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