The first Bangsamoro Parliament election, scheduled for September 14, 2026, centers on competition between the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent grouping, and the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP). Recent defections of local officials and parliament members from UBJP to the newer BFP have shifted alignments ahead of the campaign period that opened in July. Comelec formally designated UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority party, while multiple regional parties field nominees across the 72 contested seats. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with BFP holding a narrow lead amid ongoing realignments and the absence of recent polling aggregates. Scheduled events through September, including continued campaigning and any further shifts in party affiliations, remain the primary variables that could widen or close the gap before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBFP 56%
UBJP 43%
BGC 2.0%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY 1.1%
$71,477 Vol.
$71,477 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
56%
UBJP
43%
BGC
2%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
1%
BAPA
1%
LBIAA
1%
ISLPI
1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
C4P
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
PBB
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
BFP 56%
UBJP 43%
BGC 2.0%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY 1.1%
$71,477 Vol.
$71,477 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
$13,359 Vol.
56%
UBJP
$44,016 Vol.
43%
BGC
$711 Vol.
2%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$561 Vol.
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
$753 Vol.
1%
BAPA
$711 Vol.
1%
LBIAA
$800 Vol.
1%
ISLPI
$640 Vol.
1%
BEST PARTY
$681 Vol.
<1%
C4P
$658 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUPA
$600 Vol.
<1%
MAHARDIKA
$580 Vol.
<1%
RSEU
$581 Vol.
<1%
THE ROYALS
$564 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
DTLO
$575 Vol.
<1%
ISAMA
$615 Vol.
<1%
MORO AKO
$615 Vol.
<1%
PBB
$563 Vol.
<1%
TPWC
$505 Vol.
<1%
RSL
$460 Vol.
<1%
ABOT
$643 Vol.
<1%
MUSHAWARA
$673 Vol.
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$604 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The first Bangsamoro Parliament election, scheduled for September 14, 2026, centers on competition between the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent grouping, and the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP). Recent defections of local officials and parliament members from UBJP to the newer BFP have shifted alignments ahead of the campaign period that opened in July. Comelec formally designated UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority party, while multiple regional parties field nominees across the 72 contested seats. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with BFP holding a narrow lead amid ongoing realignments and the absence of recent polling aggregates. Scheduled events through September, including continued campaigning and any further shifts in party affiliations, remain the primary variables that could widen or close the gap before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$71,477End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).The first Bangsamoro Parliament election, scheduled for September 14, 2026, centers on competition between the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent grouping, and the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP). Recent defections of local officials and parliament members from UBJP to the newer BFP have shifted alignments ahead of the campaign period that opened in July. Comelec formally designated UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority party, while multiple regional parties field nominees across the 72 contested seats. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with BFP holding a narrow lead amid ongoing realignments and the absence of recent polling aggregates. Scheduled events through September, including continued campaigning and any further shifts in party affiliations, remain the primary variables that could widen or close the gap before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$71,477End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first Bangsamoro Parliament election, scheduled for September 14, 2026, centers on competition between the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the MILF-affiliated incumbent grouping, and the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP). Recent defections of local officials and parliament members from UBJP to the newer BFP have shifted alignments ahead of the campaign period that opened in July. Comelec formally designated UBJP as the dominant majority party and BFP as the dominant minority party, while multiple regional parties field nominees across the 72 contested seats. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with BFP holding a narrow lead amid ongoing realignments and the absence of recent polling aggregates. Scheduled events through September, including continued campaigning and any further shifts in party affiliations, remain the primary variables that could widen or close the gap before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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