Eric Barlow holds a commanding lead in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, reflecting trader consensus around his strong position as a sitting state senator. A July internal poll commissioned by his campaign showed him at 42% support versus 19% for Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder and 14% for Brent Bien, with 22% undecided. Recent campaign finance reports indicate Barlow raised the most individual contributions, though Degenfelder maintains a sizable war chest bolstered by personal and family loans. Policy contrasts—Barlow’s emphasis on public lands, Degenfelder’s alignment with former President Trump’s endorsement, and Bien’s property-tax focus—have defined the race, while most other listed candidates have not actively filed or compete meaningfully. The tight timeline to the primary limits opportunities for major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEric Barlow 77.2%
Megan Degenfelder 23.2%
Brent Bien 1.0%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$198,721 Vol.
$198,721 Vol.
Eric Barlow
77%
Megan Degenfelder
23%
Brent Bien
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Eric Barlow 77.2%
Megan Degenfelder 23.2%
Brent Bien 1.0%
Joseph Kibler <1%
$198,721 Vol.
$198,721 Vol.
Eric Barlow
77%
Megan Degenfelder
23%
Brent Bien
1%
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eric Barlow holds a commanding lead in the Wyoming Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026, reflecting trader consensus around his strong position as a sitting state senator. A July internal poll commissioned by his campaign showed him at 42% support versus 19% for Superintendent of Public Instruction Megan Degenfelder and 14% for Brent Bien, with 22% undecided. Recent campaign finance reports indicate Barlow raised the most individual contributions, though Degenfelder maintains a sizable war chest bolstered by personal and family loans. Policy contrasts—Barlow’s emphasis on public lands, Degenfelder’s alignment with former President Trump’s endorsement, and Bien’s property-tax focus—have defined the race, while most other listed candidates have not actively filed or compete meaningfully. The tight timeline to the primary limits opportunities for major shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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