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icon for What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
Tech·Big Tech

What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

icon for What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
Tech·Big Tech

What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

General Mills

Cracker Barrel

Costco

BlackBerry

General Mills

Cracker Barrel

Costco

BlackBerry

NEW
Sep 24, 2026
Polymarket

$6,029 Vol.

Polymarket

Quarter 15+ times

$407 Vol.

99%

Customer 10+ times

$0 Vol.

39%

Tariff

$150 Vol.

80%

Expansion

$622 Vol.

79%

Revenue

$326 Vol.

82%

Spending

$18 Vol.

75%

Holiday

$757 Vol.

73%

Labor

$188 Vol.

56%

Dividend

$739 Vol.

57%

Middle East

$123 Vol.

73%

GLP-1 / GLP 1

$637 Vol.

37%

Peptide

$0 Vol.

36%

Hot Dog

$857 Vol.

50%

Automation

$266 Vol.

9%

Gold

$144 Vol.

95%

-No Qualifying Event-

$794 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfCostco’s Q4 2026 earnings release, scheduled for September 24 after market close, centers trader attention on whether management will highlight sustained comparable sales momentum, membership fee gains, and digitally enabled growth. August net sales rose 9.9% year-over-year to $23.7 billion, while the 16-week quarter showed 11.3% growth; Q3 results featured 9.8% comps (6.6% ex-gas/FX), 21% digitally enabled sales, and 11% membership revenue expansion. Analysts project roughly $94.85 billion in revenue and $6.55 EPS, with focus likely on new U.S. warehouse openings, pricing discipline amid shifting inflation, and renewal rates near 90%. Recent monthly updates and store expansion plans provide the latest signals shaping expectations for the call.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfThis market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$6,029
End Date
Sep 24, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfCostco’s Q4 2026 earnings release, scheduled for September 24 after market close, centers trader attention on whether management will highlight sustained comparable sales momentum, membership fee gains, and digitally enabled growth. August net sales rose 9.9% year-over-year to $23.7 billion, while the 16-week quarter showed 11.3% growth; Q3 results featured 9.8% comps (6.6% ex-gas/FX), 21% digitally enabled sales, and 11% membership revenue expansion. Analysts project roughly $94.85 billion in revenue and $6.55 EPS, with focus likely on new U.S. warehouse openings, pricing discipline amid shifting inflation, and renewal rates near 90%. Recent monthly updates and store expansion plans provide the latest signals shaping expectations for the call.

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfThis market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Costco currently scheduled to take place on September 24, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$6,029
End Date
Sep 24, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Quarter 15+ times" at 99%, followed by "Gold" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" is "Quarter 15+ times" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gold" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Costco say during their next earnings call?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.