Trump’s 2025 summit with Putin in Anchorage produced no breakthrough on Ukraine, leaving the White House increasingly skeptical of Moscow’s willingness to compromise after repeated calls yielded only continued battlefield advances. As of mid-August 2026, no follow-up bilateral meeting has been scheduled, and recent reporting highlights stalled diplomacy amid Russia’s maximalist demands and U.S. frustration. Trader probabilities for another encounter by year-end reflect this impasse, tempered by the possibility of renewed talks if battlefield dynamics shift or if Trump prioritizes a personal diplomatic push before the December 31 resolution window closes. Structural factors include the absence of confirmed dates, competing priorities in U.S. foreign policy, and Putin’s recent regional activities that show no immediate outreach signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$107,196 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
8%
December 31
36%
$107,196 Vol.
September 30
$35,486 Vol.
8%
December 31
$61,412 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s 2025 summit with Putin in Anchorage produced no breakthrough on Ukraine, leaving the White House increasingly skeptical of Moscow’s willingness to compromise after repeated calls yielded only continued battlefield advances. As of mid-August 2026, no follow-up bilateral meeting has been scheduled, and recent reporting highlights stalled diplomacy amid Russia’s maximalist demands and U.S. frustration. Trader probabilities for another encounter by year-end reflect this impasse, tempered by the possibility of renewed talks if battlefield dynamics shift or if Trump prioritizes a personal diplomatic push before the December 31 resolution window closes. Structural factors include the absence of confirmed dates, competing priorities in U.S. foreign policy, and Putin’s recent regional activities that show no immediate outreach signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$107,196End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s 2025 summit with Putin in Anchorage produced no breakthrough on Ukraine, leaving the White House increasingly skeptical of Moscow’s willingness to compromise after repeated calls yielded only continued battlefield advances. As of mid-August 2026, no follow-up bilateral meeting has been scheduled, and recent reporting highlights stalled diplomacy amid Russia’s maximalist demands and U.S. frustration. Trader probabilities for another encounter by year-end reflect this impasse, tempered by the possibility of renewed talks if battlefield dynamics shift or if Trump prioritizes a personal diplomatic push before the December 31 resolution window closes. Structural factors include the absence of confirmed dates, competing priorities in U.S. foreign policy, and Putin’s recent regional activities that show no immediate outreach signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,196End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s 2025 summit with Putin in Anchorage produced no breakthrough on Ukraine, leaving the White House increasingly skeptical of Moscow’s willingness to compromise after repeated calls yielded only continued battlefield advances. As of mid-August 2026, no follow-up bilateral meeting has been scheduled, and recent reporting highlights stalled diplomacy amid Russia’s maximalist demands and U.S. frustration. Trader probabilities for another encounter by year-end reflect this impasse, tempered by the possibility of renewed talks if battlefield dynamics shift or if Trump prioritizes a personal diplomatic push before the December 31 resolution window closes. Structural factors include the absence of confirmed dates, competing priorities in U.S. foreign policy, and Putin’s recent regional activities that show no immediate outreach signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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