US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in February 2026, producing a major prisoner exchange but limited progress on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Negotiations have since stalled amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, with direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine contacts also paused. In early August 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy submitted new proposals to US negotiators while noting Russia may link any movement to its September parliamentary elections. Bilateral US contacts with both sides continue, though European efforts at limited ceasefires have seen little traction. Upcoming factors include potential renewed envoy visits and the trajectory of Middle East tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
$477,515 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
August 15
2%
August 31
22%
September 30
45%
$477,515 Vol.
August 15
$60,044 Vol.
2%
August 31
$171,603 Vol.
22%
September 30
$5,425 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in February 2026, producing a major prisoner exchange but limited progress on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Negotiations have since stalled amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, with direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine contacts also paused. In early August 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy submitted new proposals to US negotiators while noting Russia may link any movement to its September parliamentary elections. Bilateral US contacts with both sides continue, though European efforts at limited ceasefires have seen little traction. Upcoming factors include potential renewed envoy visits and the trajectory of Middle East tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$477,515End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in February 2026, producing a major prisoner exchange but limited progress on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Negotiations have since stalled amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, with direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine contacts also paused. In early August 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy submitted new proposals to US negotiators while noting Russia may link any movement to its September parliamentary elections. Bilateral US contacts with both sides continue, though European efforts at limited ceasefires have seen little traction. Upcoming factors include potential renewed envoy visits and the trajectory of Middle East tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$477,515End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States occurred in Abu Dhabi and Geneva in February 2026, producing a major prisoner exchange but limited progress on core issues such as territorial control and security guarantees. Negotiations have since stalled amid the US-Israeli conflict with Iran and related disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, with direct bilateral Russia-Ukraine contacts also paused. In early August 2026, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy submitted new proposals to US negotiators while noting Russia may link any movement to its September parliamentary elections. Bilateral US contacts with both sides continue, though European efforts at limited ceasefires have seen little traction. Upcoming factors include potential renewed envoy visits and the trajectory of Middle East tensions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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