OpenAI's latest private round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 after raising $122 billion, placing the company near the $1 trillion threshold amid rapid large language model advances and revenue growth to roughly $25 billion annualized. Heavy losses from compute-intensive training and inference, plus intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google, temper optimism, while reports of a confidential IPO filing and lean toward a 2027 listing introduce timing uncertainty for any public-market revaluation this year. Secondary share activity, GPT model updates, and quarterly revenue trends remain the key swing factors that could push trader-implied odds decisively above or below 50 percent before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
0% chance
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0% chance
$26,930 Vol.
$26,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest private round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 after raising $122 billion, placing the company near the $1 trillion threshold amid rapid large language model advances and revenue growth to roughly $25 billion annualized. Heavy losses from compute-intensive training and inference, plus intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google, temper optimism, while reports of a confidential IPO filing and lean toward a 2027 listing introduce timing uncertainty for any public-market revaluation this year. Secondary share activity, GPT model updates, and quarterly revenue trends remain the key swing factors that could push trader-implied odds decisively above or below 50 percent before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$26,930End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's latest private round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 after raising $122 billion, placing the company near the $1 trillion threshold amid rapid large language model advances and revenue growth to roughly $25 billion annualized. Heavy losses from compute-intensive training and inference, plus intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google, temper optimism, while reports of a confidential IPO filing and lean toward a 2027 listing introduce timing uncertainty for any public-market revaluation this year. Secondary share activity, GPT model updates, and quarterly revenue trends remain the key swing factors that could push trader-implied odds decisively above or below 50 percent before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,930End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's latest private round closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 after raising $122 billion, placing the company near the $1 trillion threshold amid rapid large language model advances and revenue growth to roughly $25 billion annualized. Heavy losses from compute-intensive training and inference, plus intensifying competition from Anthropic and Google, temper optimism, while reports of a confidential IPO filing and lean toward a 2027 listing introduce timing uncertainty for any public-market revaluation this year. Secondary share activity, GPT model updates, and quarterly revenue trends remain the key swing factors that could push trader-implied odds decisively above or below 50 percent before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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