Skip to main content
icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Ended: Aug 14

Aug 21

Ended: Aug 14

Aug 21

ChatGPT 1.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Capital One Mobile <1%

Polymarket

$6,179 Vol.

ChatGPT 1.0%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

ParentSquare <1%

Capital One Mobile <1%

Polymarket

$6,179 Vol.

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$2,487 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$384 Vol.

No

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$541 Vol.

No

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$562 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$904 Vol.

No

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$603 Vol.

No

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$697 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The 50-50 split between App B and Other captures intense competition for the top free spot on the US Apple App Store, where rankings shift quickly based on download velocity, user retention metrics, and algorithmic promotion. App B benefits from recent feature updates and targeted marketing that have boosted engagement in key demographics, while Other draws on established user bases and platform optimizations that sustain steady growth. Traders weigh these against typical daily fluctuations driven by viral trends, push notifications, and competitor releases, with low odds on TikTok Pro reflecting limited immediate momentum. Key swing factors include any last-minute app store placements or external campaigns that could tip visibility before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$6,179
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The 50-50 split between App B and Other captures intense competition for the top free spot on the US Apple App Store, where rankings shift quickly based on download velocity, user retention metrics, and algorithmic promotion. App B benefits from recent feature updates and targeted marketing that have boosted engagement in key demographics, while Other draws on established user bases and platform optimizations that sustain steady growth. Traders weigh these against typical daily fluctuations driven by viral trends, push notifications, and competitor releases, with low odds on TikTok Pro reflecting limited immediate momentum. Key swing factors include any last-minute app store placements or external campaigns that could tip visibility before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$6,179
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?

89%
icon for Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?

91%
icon for Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

97%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 0%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is "TikTok Pro - Events" at just 0%, with "ChatGPT" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.