The closely matched probabilities across the 25–40 million view range capture uncertainty around MrBeast’s next long-form video, expected to launch September 5 with a Gemini AI survival challenge spanning jungle, desert, and Arctic environments. Recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” demonstrate strong overall velocity, yet first-day totals hinge on thumbnail strength, title intrigue, promotional cross-posts, and early algorithmic push. The Google partnership introduces a timely novelty hook that could accelerate initial clicks, while MrBeast’s 515 million subscribers provide a reliable base. Traders will monitor any pre-release teasers or exact drop timing for clearer signals on momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
25–30M 29%
30–35M 27%
35–40M 26%
40M+ 12%
NEW
$13,104 Vol.
NEW
$13,104 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
1%
15–20M
4%
20–25M
7%
25–30M
29%
30–35M
27%
35–40M
26%
40M+
12%
25–30M 29%
30–35M 27%
35–40M 26%
40M+ 12%
NEW
$13,104 Vol.
NEW
$13,104 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
$1,255 Vol.
1%
15–20M
$1,272 Vol.
4%
20–25M
$1,814 Vol.
7%
25–30M
$3,462 Vol.
29%
30–35M
$722 Vol.
27%
35–40M
$1,679 Vol.
26%
40M+
$2,899 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities across the 25–40 million view range capture uncertainty around MrBeast’s next long-form video, expected to launch September 5 with a Gemini AI survival challenge spanning jungle, desert, and Arctic environments. Recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” demonstrate strong overall velocity, yet first-day totals hinge on thumbnail strength, title intrigue, promotional cross-posts, and early algorithmic push. The Google partnership introduces a timely novelty hook that could accelerate initial clicks, while MrBeast’s 515 million subscribers provide a reliable base. Traders will monitor any pre-release teasers or exact drop timing for clearer signals on momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$13,104End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities across the 25–40 million view range capture uncertainty around MrBeast’s next long-form video, expected to launch September 5 with a Gemini AI survival challenge spanning jungle, desert, and Arctic environments. Recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” demonstrate strong overall velocity, yet first-day totals hinge on thumbnail strength, title intrigue, promotional cross-posts, and early algorithmic push. The Google partnership introduces a timely novelty hook that could accelerate initial clicks, while MrBeast’s 515 million subscribers provide a reliable base. Traders will monitor any pre-release teasers or exact drop timing for clearer signals on momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$13,104End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across the 25–40 million view range capture uncertainty around MrBeast’s next long-form video, expected to launch September 5 with a Gemini AI survival challenge spanning jungle, desert, and Arctic environments. Recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” demonstrate strong overall velocity, yet first-day totals hinge on thumbnail strength, title intrigue, promotional cross-posts, and early algorithmic push. The Google partnership introduces a timely novelty hook that could accelerate initial clicks, while MrBeast’s 515 million subscribers provide a reliable base. Traders will monitor any pre-release teasers or exact drop timing for clearer signals on momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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