The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability at 45 percent, followed by CDU’s Stefan Evers at 32 percent and Greens’ Werner Graf at 13 percent. The race stays tight due to fragmented party support across CDU, SPD, Greens, Die Linke, and AfD, with no single party projected to secure a majority and the mayor chosen through post-election coalition negotiations. Evers assumed the CDU lead candidate role in July after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal amid criticism of the government’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows Die Linke and CDU nearly level, while SPD and AfD candidates trail. Developments such as coalition talks, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late campaign events could widen the gap ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 45%
Stefan Evers 32%
Werner Graf 13%
Steffen Krach 6.2%
$16,411 Vol.
$16,411 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
45%
Stefan Evers
32%
Werner Graf
13%
Steffen Krach
6%
Kristin Brinker
4%
Elif Eralp 45%
Stefan Evers 32%
Werner Graf 13%
Steffen Krach 6.2%
$16,411 Vol.
$16,411 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
Elif Eralp
$8,012 Vol.
45%
Stefan Evers
$4,982 Vol.
32%
Werner Graf
$1,985 Vol.
13%
Steffen Krach
$661 Vol.
6%
Kristin Brinker
$771 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability at 45 percent, followed by CDU’s Stefan Evers at 32 percent and Greens’ Werner Graf at 13 percent. The race stays tight due to fragmented party support across CDU, SPD, Greens, Die Linke, and AfD, with no single party projected to secure a majority and the mayor chosen through post-election coalition negotiations. Evers assumed the CDU lead candidate role in July after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal amid criticism of the government’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows Die Linke and CDU nearly level, while SPD and AfD candidates trail. Developments such as coalition talks, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late campaign events could widen the gap ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Volume
$16,411End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability at 45 percent, followed by CDU’s Stefan Evers at 32 percent and Greens’ Werner Graf at 13 percent. The race stays tight due to fragmented party support across CDU, SPD, Greens, Die Linke, and AfD, with no single party projected to secure a majority and the mayor chosen through post-election coalition negotiations. Evers assumed the CDU lead candidate role in July after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal amid criticism of the government’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows Die Linke and CDU nearly level, while SPD and AfD candidates trail. Developments such as coalition talks, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late campaign events could widen the gap ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,411End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 20, 2026 Berlin state election for the Abgeordnetenhaus remains closely contested, with trader consensus assigning Elif Eralp of Die Linke the highest implied probability at 45 percent, followed by CDU’s Stefan Evers at 32 percent and Greens’ Werner Graf at 13 percent. The race stays tight due to fragmented party support across CDU, SPD, Greens, Die Linke, and AfD, with no single party projected to secure a majority and the mayor chosen through post-election coalition negotiations. Evers assumed the CDU lead candidate role in July after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal amid criticism of the government’s response to a major power outage. Recent polling shows Die Linke and CDU nearly level, while SPD and AfD candidates trail. Developments such as coalition talks, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or late campaign events could widen the gap ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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