The open Senate seat and record Democratic primary turnout exceeding 2.5 million voters on August 4 have heightened engagement ahead of the November general election between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. This competitive toss-up race, marked by narrow polling margins and strong early voting in the primary, keeps multiple turnout ranges clustered near 41-45% in trader assessments. Key variables include sustained partisan mobilization, economic concerns driving participation, and procedural factors such as absentee and early voting expansion. Developments like candidate debates, national political shifts, or weather on Election Day could widen separation among the closely matched buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichigan Senate Election: Turnout
Michigan Senate Election: Turnout
5.6M+ 42%
5.2M-5.4M 41%
<4.2M 40%
4.4M-4.6M 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
40%
4.2M-4.4M
37%
4.4M-4.6M
38%
4.6M-4.8M
36%
4.8M-5M
38%
5M-5.2M
35%
5.2M-5.4M
41%
5.4M-5.6M
37%
5.6M+
42%
5.6M+ 42%
5.2M-5.4M 41%
<4.2M 40%
4.4M-4.6M 38%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<4.2M
$0 Vol.
40%
4.2M-4.4M
$0 Vol.
37%
4.4M-4.6M
$0 Vol.
38%
4.6M-4.8M
$0 Vol.
36%
4.8M-5M
$0 Vol.
38%
5M-5.2M
$0 Vol.
35%
5.2M-5.4M
$0 Vol.
41%
5.4M-5.6M
$0 Vol.
37%
5.6M+
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open Senate seat and record Democratic primary turnout exceeding 2.5 million voters on August 4 have heightened engagement ahead of the November general election between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. This competitive toss-up race, marked by narrow polling margins and strong early voting in the primary, keeps multiple turnout ranges clustered near 41-45% in trader assessments. Key variables include sustained partisan mobilization, economic concerns driving participation, and procedural factors such as absentee and early voting expansion. Developments like candidate debates, national political shifts, or weather on Election Day could widen separation among the closely matched buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The open Senate seat and record Democratic primary turnout exceeding 2.5 million voters on August 4 have heightened engagement ahead of the November general election between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. This competitive toss-up race, marked by narrow polling margins and strong early voting in the primary, keeps multiple turnout ranges clustered near 41-45% in trader assessments. Key variables include sustained partisan mobilization, economic concerns driving participation, and procedural factors such as absentee and early voting expansion. Developments like candidate debates, national political shifts, or weather on Election Day could widen separation among the closely matched buckets.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open Senate seat and record Democratic primary turnout exceeding 2.5 million voters on August 4 have heightened engagement ahead of the November general election between Abdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers. This competitive toss-up race, marked by narrow polling margins and strong early voting in the primary, keeps multiple turnout ranges clustered near 41-45% in trader assessments. Key variables include sustained partisan mobilization, economic concerns driving participation, and procedural factors such as absentee and early voting expansion. Developments like candidate debates, national political shifts, or weather on Election Day could widen separation among the closely matched buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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