Recent polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading stably near 36 percent, with the incumbent SPD holding second at 28–29 percent. This consistent gap—unchanged in substance across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys from May through early August—positions the SPD as the near-certain second-place finisher under proportional representation rules. Smaller parties, including the Linke near 11–12 percent, CDU near 9–10 percent, and others below or near the 5 percent threshold, remain well behind in every recent survey, offering little scope to overtake the SPD before election day. Traders have priced this polling stability into the market, with the SPD share reflecting the absence of major late shifts or scandals that could reorder the ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSPD 86%
AfD 14.3%
BSW <1%
FW <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
86%
AfD
14%
BSW
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke
<1%
SPD 86%
AfD 14.3%
BSW <1%
FW <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
SPD
$1,434 Vol.
86%
AfD
$1,371 Vol.
14%
BSW
$365 Vol.
<1%
FW
$458 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$381 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$425 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$610 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$424 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading stably near 36 percent, with the incumbent SPD holding second at 28–29 percent. This consistent gap—unchanged in substance across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys from May through early August—positions the SPD as the near-certain second-place finisher under proportional representation rules. Smaller parties, including the Linke near 11–12 percent, CDU near 9–10 percent, and others below or near the 5 percent threshold, remain well behind in every recent survey, offering little scope to overtake the SPD before election day. Traders have priced this polling stability into the market, with the SPD share reflecting the absence of major late shifts or scandals that could reorder the ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$5,469End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading stably near 36 percent, with the incumbent SPD holding second at 28–29 percent. This consistent gap—unchanged in substance across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys from May through early August—positions the SPD as the near-certain second-place finisher under proportional representation rules. Smaller parties, including the Linke near 11–12 percent, CDU near 9–10 percent, and others below or near the 5 percent threshold, remain well behind in every recent survey, offering little scope to overtake the SPD before election day. Traders have priced this polling stability into the market, with the SPD share reflecting the absence of major late shifts or scandals that could reorder the ranking.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$5,469End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD leading stably near 36 percent, with the incumbent SPD holding second at 28–29 percent. This consistent gap—unchanged in substance across Infratest dimap and INSA surveys from May through early August—positions the SPD as the near-certain second-place finisher under proportional representation rules. Smaller parties, including the Linke near 11–12 percent, CDU near 9–10 percent, and others below or near the 5 percent threshold, remain well behind in every recent survey, offering little scope to overtake the SPD before election day. Traders have priced this polling stability into the market, with the SPD share reflecting the absence of major late shifts or scandals that could reorder the ranking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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