**Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity centers on infrequent official written statements rather than regular posting.** The @MKhamenei_ir account, his primary verified channel, typically releases batches of translated messages tied to religious or political occasions, such as the series issued on August 30, 2026, addressing Muslim unity and Gulf-state relations amid ongoing regional tensions. These statements often appear in clusters on X after initial publication on Telegram or Khamenei.ir, but the pattern shows gaps of days or weeks between releases. No scheduled events, holidays, or diplomatic deadlines fall within September 4–11, 2026, that would trigger multiple statements. Trader consensus for under five posts (82%) reflects this established cadence of low-volume, event-driven output, with higher bins priced low because sustained daily activity would require a sharp departure from observed behavior since he assumed leadership.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
<5 82%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.0%
20-24 4.2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<5
82%
5-9
10%
10-14
5%
15-19
2%
20-24
4%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 82%
5-9 10%
10-14 5.0%
20-24 4.2%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<5
$34 Vol.
82%
5-9
$38 Vol.
10%
10-14
$34 Vol.
5%
15-19
$42 Vol.
2%
20-24
$58 Vol.
4%
25-29
$42 Vol.
1%
30-34
$42 Vol.
1%
35-39
$111 Vol.
2%
40-44
$42 Vol.
1%
45-49
$42 Vol.
1%
50-54
$34 Vol.
1%
55-59
$34 Vol.
1%
60+
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity centers on infrequent official written statements rather than regular posting.** The @MKhamenei_ir account, his primary verified channel, typically releases batches of translated messages tied to religious or political occasions, such as the series issued on August 30, 2026, addressing Muslim unity and Gulf-state relations amid ongoing regional tensions.
These statements often appear in clusters on X after initial publication on Telegram or Khamenei.ir, but the pattern shows gaps of days or weeks between releases. No scheduled events, holidays, or diplomatic deadlines fall within September 4–11, 2026, that would trigger multiple statements.
Trader consensus for under five posts (82%) reflects this established cadence of low-volume, event-driven output, with higher bins priced low because sustained daily activity would require a sharp departure from observed behavior since he assumed leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$586End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity centers on infrequent official written statements rather than regular posting.** The @MKhamenei_ir account, his primary verified channel, typically releases batches of translated messages tied to religious or political occasions, such as the series issued on August 30, 2026, addressing Muslim unity and Gulf-state relations amid ongoing regional tensions.
These statements often appear in clusters on X after initial publication on Telegram or Khamenei.ir, but the pattern shows gaps of days or weeks between releases. No scheduled events, holidays, or diplomatic deadlines fall within September 4–11, 2026, that would trigger multiple statements.
Trader consensus for under five posts (82%) reflects this established cadence of low-volume, event-driven output, with higher bins priced low because sustained daily activity would require a sharp departure from observed behavior since he assumed leadership.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$586End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Mojtaba Khamenei’s X activity centers on infrequent official written statements rather than regular posting.** The @MKhamenei_ir account, his primary verified channel, typically releases batches of translated messages tied to religious or political occasions, such as the series issued on August 30, 2026, addressing Muslim unity and Gulf-state relations amid ongoing regional tensions. These statements often appear in clusters on X after initial publication on Telegram or Khamenei.ir, but the pattern shows gaps of days or weeks between releases. No scheduled events, holidays, or diplomatic deadlines fall within September 4–11, 2026, that would trigger multiple statements. Trader consensus for under five posts (82%) reflects this established cadence of low-volume, event-driven output, with higher bins priced low because sustained daily activity would require a sharp departure from observed behavior since he assumed leadership.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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