IAEA access to Iran's Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged enrichment halls, tunnels, and related infrastructure at the sites. Iran has limited verification activities since then, blocking inspectors from affected areas and new underground sections at Isfahan where highly enriched uranium stocks are stored, while satellite imagery shows sealed entrances and minimal reconstruction activity through mid-2026. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on a final agreement, creating ongoing uncertainty over timelines. Director General Rafael Grossi has stated inspections are planned and under discussion, with outcomes hinging on diplomatic progress in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$298,071 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
August 31
1%
October 31
8%
December 31
25%
$298,071 Vol.
August 31
$52,330 Vol.
1%
October 31
$29,004 Vol.
8%
December 31
$23,413 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged enrichment halls, tunnels, and related infrastructure at the sites. Iran has limited verification activities since then, blocking inspectors from affected areas and new underground sections at Isfahan where highly enriched uranium stocks are stored, while satellite imagery shows sealed entrances and minimal reconstruction activity through mid-2026. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on a final agreement, creating ongoing uncertainty over timelines. Director General Rafael Grossi has stated inspections are planned and under discussion, with outcomes hinging on diplomatic progress in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Volume
$298,071End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged enrichment halls, tunnels, and related infrastructure at the sites. Iran has limited verification activities since then, blocking inspectors from affected areas and new underground sections at Isfahan where highly enriched uranium stocks are stored, while satellite imagery shows sealed entrances and minimal reconstruction activity through mid-2026. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on a final agreement, creating ongoing uncertainty over timelines. Director General Rafael Grossi has stated inspections are planned and under discussion, with outcomes hinging on diplomatic progress in the coming weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$298,071End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes in June 2025 that damaged enrichment halls, tunnels, and related infrastructure at the sites. Iran has limited verification activities since then, blocking inspectors from affected areas and new underground sections at Isfahan where highly enriched uranium stocks are stored, while satellite imagery shows sealed entrances and minimal reconstruction activity through mid-2026. A June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding explicitly references IAEA supervision of nuclear material activities, yet Iranian officials have conditioned any visits on a final agreement, creating ongoing uncertainty over timelines. Director General Rafael Grossi has stated inspections are planned and under discussion, with outcomes hinging on diplomatic progress in the coming weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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