Recent FOMC meetings have shown elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 split with three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid inflation near 3.4-3.5% year-over-year and unemployment around 4.1%. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, the closely matched probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents for the January 2027 meeting reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI prints, employment reports, or Middle East energy shocks will push the committee toward holding, hiking, or easing. This dispersion underscores how modest shifts in the inflation trajectory or voting roster could alter the vote split, as traders weigh persistent price pressures against a resilient labor market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Jan 27, 2027
0
19%
1
20%
2
20%
3
29%
4+
16%
3 29%
2 20%
1 20%
0 19%
NEW
NEW
Jan 27, 2027
0
$1,177 Vol.
19%
1
$499 Vol.
20%
2
$324 Vol.
20%
3
$5,689 Vol.
29%
4+
$492 Vol.
16%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have shown elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 split with three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid inflation near 3.4-3.5% year-over-year and unemployment around 4.1%. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, the closely matched probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents for the January 2027 meeting reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI prints, employment reports, or Middle East energy shocks will push the committee toward holding, hiking, or easing. This dispersion underscores how modest shifts in the inflation trajectory or voting roster could alter the vote split, as traders weigh persistent price pressures against a resilient labor market.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$8,181End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have shown elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 split with three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid inflation near 3.4-3.5% year-over-year and unemployment around 4.1%. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, the closely matched probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents for the January 2027 meeting reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI prints, employment reports, or Middle East energy shocks will push the committee toward holding, hiking, or easing. This dispersion underscores how modest shifts in the inflation trajectory or voting roster could alter the vote split, as traders weigh persistent price pressures against a resilient labor market.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$8,181End Date
Jan 27, 2027Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have shown elevated dissent, including a 9-3 July 2026 split with three regional presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike amid inflation near 3.4-3.5% year-over-year and unemployment around 4.1%. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% since early 2026, the closely matched probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents for the January 2027 meeting reflect uncertainty over whether incoming CPI prints, employment reports, or Middle East energy shocks will push the committee toward holding, hiking, or easing. This dispersion underscores how modest shifts in the inflation trajectory or voting roster could alter the vote split, as traders weigh persistent price pressures against a resilient labor market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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