Trader sentiment on dissent levels at the December 2026 FOMC meeting shows tight clustering around two to four votes against the majority, underscoring deep uncertainty in the monetary policy outlook. Recent inflation readings, labor market data, and Fed communications have kept rate path expectations fluid, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessments of how committee members may split over thresholds such as the federal funds rate or balance sheet guidance. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through year-end remain key swing factors that could shift consensus, as participants weigh progress toward the Fed’s dual mandate against risks of policy divergence. This competitive spread highlights the value of fresh data in narrowing the range of plausible outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 18.4%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
16%
1
18%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 18.4%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$5,895 Vol.
16%
1
$314 Vol.
18%
2
$134 Vol.
24%
3
$153 Vol.
24%
4+
$168 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment on dissent levels at the December 2026 FOMC meeting shows tight clustering around two to four votes against the majority, underscoring deep uncertainty in the monetary policy outlook. Recent inflation readings, labor market data, and Fed communications have kept rate path expectations fluid, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessments of how committee members may split over thresholds such as the federal funds rate or balance sheet guidance. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through year-end remain key swing factors that could shift consensus, as participants weigh progress toward the Fed’s dual mandate against risks of policy divergence. This competitive spread highlights the value of fresh data in narrowing the range of plausible outcomes.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$6,664End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader sentiment on dissent levels at the December 2026 FOMC meeting shows tight clustering around two to four votes against the majority, underscoring deep uncertainty in the monetary policy outlook. Recent inflation readings, labor market data, and Fed communications have kept rate path expectations fluid, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessments of how committee members may split over thresholds such as the federal funds rate or balance sheet guidance. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through year-end remain key swing factors that could shift consensus, as participants weigh progress toward the Fed’s dual mandate against risks of policy divergence. This competitive spread highlights the value of fresh data in narrowing the range of plausible outcomes.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$6,664End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on dissent levels at the December 2026 FOMC meeting shows tight clustering around two to four votes against the majority, underscoring deep uncertainty in the monetary policy outlook. Recent inflation readings, labor market data, and Fed communications have kept rate path expectations fluid, with market-implied odds reflecting trader assessments of how committee members may split over thresholds such as the federal funds rate or balance sheet guidance. Upcoming CPI and employment releases through year-end remain key swing factors that could shift consensus, as participants weigh progress toward the Fed’s dual mandate against risks of policy divergence. This competitive spread highlights the value of fresh data in narrowing the range of plausible outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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